Match Info
Date: 17 October 2021, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Lanús |
|
El Porvenir |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.7 |
3.9 |
2.05 |
|
 |
2.7 |
3.7 |
2.1 |
|
 |
2.55 |
3.95 |
2.05 |
|
 |
2.8 |
3.98 |
2.13 |
|
 |
2.8 |
4.1 |
2.06 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.71 ↑
(2.6) |
3.93 ↓
(3.98) |
2.08 ↓
(2.09) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
- The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Lanús
33.4% | Draw
23.1% | El Porvenir
43.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lanús has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)El Porvenir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lanús that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (+13.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that El Porvenir could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats. 
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Preview
A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 7 and 6). Lanús has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0). El Porvenir is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1). El Porvenir could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Lanús won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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