Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 1

Date: 16 August 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas)

Referee: Maeso F. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 4
Argentina	ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3, Moja TV
Brazil	Claro TV+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	ESPN 2
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Go3 Sport Open Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 2
France	beIN Connect
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	Now Player, Now Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2, TV2 Play Premium
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports Malaysia, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Blue To Go Video Everywhere, Sky HD, Sky Sport
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect, TVWan Sports 2
North-central-america	SportsMax 2 Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Pakistan	ARY ZAP
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 4, CANAL+ Sport 5
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, PrimaPlay, Prima Sport 1, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sports Singapore, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport Maximo 360
South-america	ESPN 2 South
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, Gol, LaLiga TV Bar, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
Taiwan	DAZN
Tanzania	Azam Sports 4, TV3 Tanzania
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 2, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, FuboTV
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15
World	Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app, SportsMax App


	Las Palmas		Sevilla

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.2	2.63	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.65
	2.85	3.2	2.65	Watch
	2.91	3.19	2.72
	2.8	3.21	2.62	Watch
	2.88	3	2.7
	2.98	3.19	2.73	Watch
	2.85	3.2	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↓ (3)	3.16 ↓ (3.22)	2.67 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Las Palmas
33.7%

Draw
30.4%

Sevilla
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

29.6%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

31.4%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Palmas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	33.3%	55.6%

Las Palmas - Sevilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Las Palmas will win (votes: 5 - 11.1%). Sevilla will win (votes: 25 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sevilla: 41.1% – 70.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cillessen J. (G) 2. Marvin 4. Alex Suarez 3. Marmol M. 23. Munoz A. 20. Rodriguez K. (C) 5. Javier Munoz 12. Loiodice E. 10. Moleiro A. 17. Mata J. 16. McBurnie O.	13. Nyland O. (G) 26. Sanchez J. 24. Nianzou T. 6. Gudelj N. 3. Pedrosa A. 32. Carmona J. A. 18. Agoume L. 20. Sow D. 11. Lukebakio D. 7. Romero I. 5. Ocampos L. (C)
Substitutes
26. Bassinga A. 8. Campana J. 9. Cardona M. 14. Fuster M. 21. Gil I. 28. Herzog J. 13. Horkas D. (G) 15. McKenna S. 27. Pezzolesi V. 11. Ramirez B. 19. Ramirez S. 18. Viti	22. Bade L. 30. Collado A. 21. Ejuke C. 1. Fernandez A. (G) 31. Flores A. (G) 27. Idumbo Muzambo S. 23. Marcao 15. Montiel G. 16. Navas J. 14. Peque 37. Rivera Cruz P. 4. Salas K.
Coaches
Carrion L.	Garcia Pimienta F. J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Alex Suarez (Own goal),
34', Sanchez J. 🟨,
42', 1 - 1, Nianzou T. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', 1 - 2, Sanchez J. ⚽, Romero I. (A),
68', Mata J. ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
69', Loiodice E. ↓, Fuster M. ↑,
69', Munoz A. ↓, McKenna S. ↑,
71', 2 - 2, Ramirez S. ⚽, Javier Munoz (A),
74', Lukebakio D. ↓, Navas J. ↑,
76', Marvin ↓, Viti ↑,
80', Pedrosa A. 🟨,
81', Viti 🟨,
83', Romero I. ↓, Peque ↑,
83', Sanchez J. ↓, Salas K. ↑,
87', McBurnie O. ↓, Cardona M. ↑,
87', Moleiro A. ↓, Bassinga A. ↑,
90+7', Marmol M. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Las Palmas won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Sevilla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Las Palmas: Januzaj A. (Muscle Injury) Pejino (Muscle Injury) Sinkgraven D. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Sevilla: Niguez S. (Red Card) Suso (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Las Palmas: Bikoue (Injury) Gonzalez F. (Injury) Viti (Injury)

There are questionable in Sevilla: Lokonga A. S. (Muscle Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Las Palmas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 4-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Las Palmas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Las Palmas
Club Friendly
11.08.24	Liverpool - Las Palmas	0:0 ✺
03.08.24	Las Palmas - Unión Sur Yaiza	4:0 ✺
02.08.24	Las Palmas - Al-Shabab Riyadh	2:1 ✺
27.07.24	Inter Milan - Las Palmas	3:0 ✺
25.07.24	Granada - Las Palmas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TWWLT
- Sevilla FC
Club Friendly
11.08.24	Liverpool - Sevilla	4:1 ✺
05.08.24	Fulham - Sevilla	1:2 ✺
31.07.24	Sevilla - Granada	2:0 ✺
26.07.24	Sevilla - Al-Ittihad Alexandria	1:0 ✺
23.07.24	Sporting Lisbon - Sevilla	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
14.04.24	Las Palmas - Sevilla	0:2
17.09.23	Sevilla - Las Palmas	1:0
Club Friendly
22.07.21	Sevilla - Las Palmas	1:0
Spanish LaLiga
17.02.18	Las Palmas - Sevilla	1:2
20.09.17	Sevilla - Las Palmas	1:0
12.02.17	Las Palmas - Sevilla	0:1
10.09.16	Sevilla - Las Palmas	2:1

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