Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 9

Date: 10 October 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes (Granada)

Referee: Moreno A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6, Dsports 9
Australia	beIN Sports 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6, DSports 9
India	FanCode, FanCode
Laos	beIN Connect
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium 2, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports, DSports 9
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 7
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	Canal Sur Andalucía, DAZN Espana, Gol Play, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, TV Canaria
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 8, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Granada		Las Palmas

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.1	2.65	Watch
	2.62	3	2.68	Watch
	2.78	3.07	2.88
	2.70	3.08	2.75	Watch
	2.71	3	2.7	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.48)	3.08 ↓ (3.25)	2.74 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Granada
35.2%

Draw
30.5%

Las Palmas
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

28.5%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

29.6%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Granada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

The chances for Las Palmas have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Granada than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Granada - Las Palmas Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Granada will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%). Las Palmas will win (votes: 10 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Las Palmas: 22% – 61.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Granada (votes: 3 - 30%). Las Palmas (votes: 1 - 10%). Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Las Palmas (1.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Las Palmas (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Granada (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Las Palmas (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Tie (votes: 6 - 46.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Garcia I. (G) 2. Casadesus P. 5. Lama M. 28. Oppong O. 22. Diallo B. 20. Ruiz S. (C) 4. Alcaraz R. 8. Aleman P. 7. Sola A. 19. Pascual J. 17. Faye S.	1. Horkas D. (G) 2. Marvin 15. Herzog J. 6. Sergio Barcia 5. Clemente E. 12. Loiodice E. (C) 16. Amatucci L. 8. Gil I. 14. Fuster M. 22. Garcia A. 17. Viti
Substitutes
10. Bouldini M. 33. Cortes S. 23. Gagnidze L. 3. Hormigo D. 35. Isachenko B. (G) 36. Juanjo 21. Saenz P. 14. Trigueros M. 24. Williams L.	4. Alex Suarez 29. Arvelo A. 11. Cardona M. 13. Caro J. (G) 26. Gonzalez I. 23. Gutierrez C. 7. Mata J. 24. Pejino 27. Pezzolesi V. 9. Recoba J. 20. Rodriguez K. 35. Suarez A. (G)
Coaches
Rojo Martin J.	Garcia L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Gil I. ↓, Recoba J. ↑,
64', Clemente E. 🟨,
65', Loiodice E. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
65', Herzog J. ↓, Alex Suarez ↑,
65', Viti ↓, Pejino ↑,
68', Pascual J. ↓, Bouldini M. ↑,
75', Aleman P. ↓, Saenz P. ↑,
76', Bouldini M. ↓, Gagnidze L. ↑,
77', Recoba J. ↓, Mata J. ↑,
79', Diallo B. 🟨,
90', Ruiz S. ↓, Trigueros M. ↑,
90', Sola A. ↓, Cortes S. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Granada won 1.

Granada has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Las Palmas is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Granada: Astralaga A. (International duty) Hongla M. (International duty) Rodelas S. (International duty) Zidane L. (International duty)

There will not play in Las Palmas: Ramirez S. (Knee Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Granada won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:20. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Granada won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.6:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Granada CF
Spanish LaLiga2
04.10.25	Granada - Real Sociedad B	5:2 ✺
28.09.25	Huesca - Granada	0:1 ✺
22.09.25	Burgos - Granada	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Granada - Leganés	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Málaga - Granada	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWTLT
- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2
05.10.25	Las Palmas - Cádiz	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Las Palmas - Almería	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Leganés - Las Palmas	0:1 ✺
12.09.25	Las Palmas - Real Sociedad B	2:1 ✺
07.09.25	Burgos - Las Palmas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
25.07.24	Granada - Las Palmas	1:1
Spanish LaLiga
03.02.24	Granada - Las Palmas	1:1
24.09.23	Las Palmas - Granada	1:0
Spanish LaLiga2
15.04.23	Granada - Las Palmas	2:1
26.09.22	Las Palmas - Granada	2:0
Club Friendly
04.08.19	Granada - Las Palmas	2:0
Spanish LaLiga2
24.03.19	Granada - Las Palmas	1:1

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