Match Info

Date: 15 May 2022, Sunday


	Las Palmas B		Mérida AD

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.2	2.05
	3.4	3.1	2.08
	3.5	3.2	1.96
	2.97	3.48	2.27
	3.1	3.3	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↓ (3.28)	3.26 ↑ (3.2)	2.11 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Palmas B
28.4%

Draw
28.2%

Mérida AD
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

28%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

29.7%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Palmas B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas B than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	11.1%	77.8%

Las Palmas B - Mérida AD Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Las Palmas B will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Mérida AD will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mérida AD: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Las Palmas B is Relegated to

Mérida AD is Qualified for Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs (Promotion ~ Play Offs)

Las Palmas B has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Mérida AD is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mérida AD will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Las Palmas B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Las Palmas B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Las Palmas B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
08.05.22	Villanovense - Las Palmas B	2:2 ✺
01.05.22	Las Palmas B - Cacereño	1:2 ✺
24.04.22	Córdoba - Las Palmas B	5:1 ✺
16.04.22	Las Palmas B - San Roque de Lepe	2:3 ✺
10.04.22	Antequera - Las Palmas B	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLLLL
- Mérida AD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
08.05.22	Mérida AD - Montijo	2:1 ✺
01.05.22	Mérida AD - Villanovense	1:0 ✺
24.04.22	Cacereño - Mérida AD	1:2 ✺
16.04.22	Mérida AD - Córdoba	0:1 ✺
10.04.22	San Roque de Lepe - Mérida AD	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
09.01.22	Mérida AD - Las Palmas B	2:0
28.01.18	Las Palmas B - Mérida AD	2:0
10.09.17	Mérida AD - Las Palmas B	4:0

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