Match Info

Date: 8 May 2022, Sunday


	Mérida AD		Montijo

	1	X	2
	1.73	2.9	5.25
	1.74	3.25	4.5
	1.77	2.9	5
	1.78	3.44	4.69
	1.77	3.35	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.75)	3.17 ↑ (2.8)	4.81 ↓ (5.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mérida AD
52.1%

Draw
28.9%

Montijo
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

32.3%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

31.9%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Montijo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Mérida AD - Montijo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 6).

Mérida AD is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Montijo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Montijo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mérida AD is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mérida AD won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mérida AD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
01.05.22	Mérida AD - Villanovense	1:0 ✺
24.04.22	Cacereño - Mérida AD	1:2 ✺
16.04.22	Mérida AD - Córdoba	0:1 ✺
10.04.22	San Roque de Lepe - Mérida AD	0:1 ✺
03.04.22	Mérida AD - Antequera	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWLWT
- UD Montijo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
30.04.22	Don Benito - Montijo	1:0 ✺
24.04.22	Montijo - Villanovense	2:1 ✺
16.04.22	Coria - Montijo	2:0 ✺
10.04.22	Montijo - Cacereño	1:1 ✺
03.04.22	Cadiz CF B - Montijo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
19.12.21	Montijo - Mérida AD	2:0

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