Match Info

Date: 1 May 2022, Sunday


	Mérida AD		Villanovense

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.7	3.9
	2.07	2.88	3.75
	2.02	2.9	3.7
	2.17	2.78	4.11
	2.09	2.97	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.02)	2.85 ↓ (3)	3.84 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mérida AD
44%

Draw
32.2%

Villanovense
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

30.3%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

30.4%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Villanovense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villanovense than the current prediction. (+1%)

Mérida AD - Villanovense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mérida AD won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Mérida AD will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Mérida AD won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Mérida AD won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mérida AD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
24.04.22	Cacereño - Mérida AD	1:2 ✺
16.04.22	Mérida AD - Córdoba	0:1 ✺
10.04.22	San Roque de Lepe - Mérida AD	0:1 ✺
03.04.22	Mérida AD - Antequera	1:1 ✺
27.03.22	Mensajero - Mérida AD	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWTL
- CF Villanovense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
24.04.22	Montijo - Villanovense	2:1 ✺
16.04.22	Villanovense - Cacereño	2:0 ✺
09.04.22	Córdoba - Villanovense	2:0 ✺
03.04.22	Villanovense - San Roque de Lepe	0:0 ✺
27.03.22	Antequera - Villanovense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
12.12.21	Villanovense - Mérida AD	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
24.01.21	Mérida AD - Villanovense	0:1
25.10.20	Villanovense - Mérida AD	0:0
Club Friendly
03.08.19	Villanovense - Mérida AD	3:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
29.04.18	Mérida AD - Villanovense	0:1
03.12.17	Villanovense - Mérida AD	0:0
19.03.17	Mérida AD - Villanovense	2:2

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