Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 8

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Las Rozas		México

	1	X	2
	1.70	3.50	4.10
	1.7	3.35	4.1
	1.72	3.56	4.07
	1.74	3.71	4.14	Watch
	1.69	3.45	3.95
	1.66	3.52	4.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.69)	3.52 ↓ (3.65)	4.15 ↓ (4.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Rozas
52.8%

Draw
25.6%

México
21.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.8%

24.9%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

24.4%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Rozas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

México has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Rozas than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for México than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Las Rozas - México Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
29', 1 - 0, ⚽,
31', 2 - 0, ⚽,
43', 2 - 1, ⚽,
45', 3 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
60', 3 - 2, ⚽,
85', 3 - 3, ⚽,
90+2', 4 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1st in the Promotion and 13th).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Bookmakers give the edge to Las Rozas for this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Las Rozas has recorded 0 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:4 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Las Rozas against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:2 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Las Rozas	8	5	2	1	20:12	8	17
16	Mexico FC	8	1	3	4	12:15	-3	6

Last Results with these Odds

Las Rozas - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 53.78%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Las Rozas CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
18.10.26	Colonia Moscardó - Las Rozas	1:1 ✺
11.10.26	Las Rozas - San Sebastian Reyes B	4:2 ✺
07.10.26	Las Rozas - Alcobendas	3:0 ✺
04.10.26	Trival Valderas - Las Rozas	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Galapagar - Las Rozas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWWLT
- México FC Spain
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
17.10.26	México - Real Aranjuez	2:2 ✺
11.10.26	Pozuelo de Alarcón - México	4:3 ✺
03.10.26	México - Parla Escuela	1:0 ✺
27.09.26	Siello - México	3:2 ✺
19.09.26	México - Unión Adarve	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
22.02.26	Las Rozas - México	1:1
11.10.25	México - Las Rozas	2:2
01.03.25	México - Las Rozas	0:0
20.10.24	Las Rozas - México	1:1

Las Rozas - México