Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 7 - ROUND 25

Date: 19 March 2023, Sunday


	Las Rozas		Real Aranjuez

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.5	7.75
	1.3	4.1	6.75
	1.33	4.43	7.73
	1.32	4.75	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.47)	4.45 ↑ (3.99)	7.68 ↑ (5.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Rozas
68.2%

Draw
20.2%

Real Aranjuez
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

22.4%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

16.1%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Rozas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Las Rozas's performance.

Real Aranjuez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Rozas than the current prediction. (-24.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Las Rozas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Aranjuez than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Aranjuez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Las Rozas - Real Aranjuez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

The competitors look crappy now.

In this match Las Rozas is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Las Rozas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Las Rozas CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
12.03.23	Trival Valderas - Las Rozas	0:1 ✺
05.03.23	Las Rozas - Rayo Vallecano B	2:2 ✺
26.02.23	Galapagar - Las Rozas	2:0 ✺
19.02.23	RSC Internacional - Las Rozas	4:0 ✺
12.02.23	Las Rozas - Alcalá	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WTLLL
- Real Aranjuez CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
12.03.23	Real Aranjuez - Alcalá	2:3 ✺
05.03.23	Ursaria - Real Aranjuez	5:1 ✺
26.02.23	Real Aranjuez - Paracuellos Antamira	0:2 ✺
19.02.23	Torrejón - Real Aranjuez	4:2 ✺
12.02.23	Real Aranjuez - Móstoles URJC	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
20.11.22	Real Aranjuez - Las Rozas	0:1

Las Rozas - Real Aranjuez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide