Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday


	Las Rozas		Torrejón

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	2.55
	2.38	3.1	2.68
	2.48	3.14	2.73	Watch
	2.43	3.15	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (1.88)	3.12 ↓ (3.3)	2.65 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Rozas
37%

Draw
28.9%

Torrejón
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

27.2%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

28.9%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Rozas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Las Rozas's form might have worsened.

Torrejón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Torrejón's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Rozas than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Las Rozas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torrejón than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Torrejón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Las Rozas - Torrejón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Rozas won 3.

Las Rozas has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Torrejón is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Las Rozas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Las Rozas won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Las Rozas won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Las Rozas	5	3	1	1	11:6	5	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Las Rozas CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
10.05.26	Galapagar - Las Rozas	3:1 ✺
03.05.26	Las Rozas - Unión Adarve	0:2 ✺
19.04.26	Las Rozas - Atlético Madrid C	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Siello - Las Rozas	2:1 ✺
01.04.26	Las Rozas - Pozuelo de Alarcón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLTLW
- AD Torrejón CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
10.05.26	Torrejón - Parla	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	Alcorcón B - Torrejón	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Tres Cantos - Torrejón	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Torrejón - Carabanchel	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Móstoles URJC - Torrejón	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
15.03.26	Torrejón - Las Rozas	1:1
02.11.25	Las Rozas - Torrejón	2:0
19.01.25	Las Rozas - Torrejón	3:2
08.09.24	Torrejón - Las Rozas	0:1
11.02.24	Torrejón - Las Rozas	2:0
24.09.23	Las Rozas - Torrejón	1:0
22.01.23	Torrejón - Las Rozas	0:1

Las Rozas - Torrejón: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide