Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 7 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Stade de la Tuiliere (Lausanne)

Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	RTS 2, RTS 2


	Lausanne-Sport		Astana

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.1	4.75	Watch
	1.5	4.1	5.5
	1.52	4.15	5.4	Watch
	1.52	4.1	5.87
	1.54	4.28	5.40	Watch
	1.65	4.09	5.26	Watch
	1.67	3.86	5.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.72)	4.1 ↑ (3.84)	5.33 ↑ (5.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lausanne-Sport
59.7%

Draw
22.8%

Astana
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

25%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

27.3%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lausanne-Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Astana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lausanne-Sport than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Astana aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	7.4%	14.8%

Lausanne Sport - Astana Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Lausanne-Sport will win (votes: 20 - 76.9%). Astana will win (votes: 4 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lausanne-Sport: 60.7% – 93.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Lausanne-Sport (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Astana (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Astana (4.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

TQ, OT - Astana (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Lausanne-Sport (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Astana (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Letica K. (G) 14. Mouanga K. 6. Dussenne N. 5. Okoh B. 18. Poaty M. 10. Custodio O. (C) 8. Roche J. 70. Diakite G. 27. Lekoueiry B. 9. Sene M. K. 11. Butler-Oyedeji N.	74. Seysen M. (G) 2. Bartolec K. 5. Kazukolovas K. 22. Marochkin A. 6. Vorogovskiy Y. 3. Kalaica B. 45. Amanovic A. 7. Ebong M. (C) 8. Basic I. 28. Camara O. 9. Geoffrey C.
Substitutes
7. Ajdini A. 77. Al Saad M. 21. Carraco D. 1. Castella T. (G) 23. de la Fuente K. 93. Fofana S. 94. Hottiger T. (G) 47. N'Diaye S. 43. Polster M. 2. Soppy B. 71. Sow K. 17. Traore S.	71. Anuarov S. 72. Basmanov S. 15. Beysebekov A. 4. Bystrov M. 11. Camaj D. 93. Condric J. (G) 77. Gripshi N. 81. Karimov R. 99. Karpikov D. (G) 18. Shomko D. 10. Tomasov M. 14. Zhaksylykov N.
Coaches
Zeidler P.	Babayan G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', Kazukolovas K. 🟨,
21', Basic I. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Roche J. ⚽, Lekoueiry B. (A),
42', 2 - 0, Sene M. K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Mouanga K. 🟨,
61', Butler-Oyedeji N. ↓, Ajdini A. ↑,
61', Lekoueiry B. ↓, Soppy B. ↑,
70', Dussenne N. 🟨,
71', Amanovic A. ↓, Beysebekov A. ↑,
72', 3 - 0, Ajdini A. ⚽, Poaty M. (A),
75', Sene M. K. ↓, N'Diaye S. ↑,
77', Geoffrey C. ↓, Karimov R. ↑,
77', Camara O. ↓, Tomasov M. ↑,
82', Poaty M. ↓, Fofana S. ↑,
90', 3 - 1, Basic I. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Recent performances by Lausanne-Sport have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Astana is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lausanne-Sport may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Lausanne-Sport is considered a favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lausanne-Sport
Swiss Super League
03.08.25	Thun - Lausanne-Sport	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.07.25	Lausanne-Sport - Vardar	5:0 ✺
Swiss Super League
27.07.25	Lausanne-Sport - Winterthur	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Vardar - Lausanne-Sport	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Lausanne-Sport - Stade Nyonnais	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWWLL
- FC Astana
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.07.25	Zimbru Chişinău - Astana	0:2 ✺
24.07.25	Astana - Zimbru Chişinău	1:1 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
18.07.25	Astana - Turan Turkistan	7:0 ✺
13.07.25	Ordabasy - Astana	1:0 ✺
06.07.25	Zhetysu - Astana	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WTWLW

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