Match Info

Date: 26 March 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Lavagnese		Caronnese

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.1
	3	2.95	2.25
	2.85	2.83	2.24
	3.3	3.1	2
	3.02	3.13	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↓ (3.46)	3.02 ↓ (3.4)	2.18 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lavagnese
29.3%

Draw
29.6%

Caronnese
41.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.2%

26.7%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

26.2%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lavagnese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Caronnese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caronnese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lavagnese than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caronnese than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caronnese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lavagnese - Caronnese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Lavagnese has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Caronnese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Caronnese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Caronnese will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lavagnese won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Lavagnese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Lavagnese 1919
Italian Serie D - Group A
19.03.22	Borgosesia - Lavagnese	2:0 ✺
13.03.22	Casale - Lavagnese	1:0 ✺
06.03.22	Lavagnese - Unione Sanremo	1:1 ✺
27.02.22	Vado - Lavagnese	3:0 ✺
20.02.22	Lavagnese - Sestri Levante	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLTLW
- SC Caronnese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group A
13.03.22	Caronnese - Gozzano	0:0 ✺
05.03.22	Saluzzo - Caronnese	0:1 ✺
27.02.22	Caronnese - Fossano	0:0 ✺
20.02.22	Casale - Caronnese	2:1 ✺
16.02.22	Caronnese - PDHAE	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
07.11.21	Caronnese - Lavagnese	2:2
06.06.21	Lavagnese - Caronnese	2:0
24.01.21	Caronnese - Lavagnese	1:1
03.04.16	Caronnese - Lavagnese	2:0

Lavagnese - Caronnese

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Lavagnese - Caronnese Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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