Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP H - ROUND 18

Date: 8 January 2023, Sunday


	Lavello		Città di Fasano

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.2	1.85
	3.7	3.3	1.85
	3.72	3.27	1.85
	3.74	3.2	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↑ (3.22)	3.24 ↑ (3)	1.88 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lavello
24.2%

Draw
27.8%

Città di Fasano
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

28.9%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

27.7%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lavello has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Città di Fasano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lavello than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Città di Fasano than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Città di Fasano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lavello - Città di Fasano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Lavello has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Città di Fasano is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Città di Fasano will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lavello won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Lavello won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Lavello
Italian Serie D - Group H
21.12.22	Lavello - Gravina	0:2 ✺
17.12.22	Puteolana - Lavello	1:1 ✺
11.12.22	Lavello - Francavilla	0:2 ✺
04.12.22	Matera - Lavello	3:2 ✺
27.11.22	Lavello - Bitonto	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL
- US Città di Fasano
Italian Serie D - Group H
21.12.22	Barletta - Città di Fasano	2:1 ✺
18.12.22	Città di Fasano - Matera	1:2 ✺
11.12.22	Afragolese - Città di Fasano	0:1 ✺
04.12.22	Città di Fasano - Altamura	0:0 ✺
27.11.22	Nocerina - Città di Fasano	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
04.09.22	Città di Fasano - Lavello	4:1
06.02.22	Città di Fasano - Lavello	2:0
03.10.21	Lavello - Città di Fasano	0:3
16.05.21	Lavello - Città di Fasano	0:0
24.01.21	Città di Fasano - Lavello	0:3

Lavello - Città di Fasano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide