Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP H - ROUND 15

Date: 11 December 2022, Sunday


	Lavello		Francavilla

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	2.95
	2.25	3.11	2.96
	2.23	3.1	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.86)	3.07 ↓ (3.09)	2.99 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lavello
40.5%

Draw
29.4%

Francavilla
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

29.1%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

27.7%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lavello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lavello's performance.

Francavilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francavilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lavello than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lavello that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francavilla than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francavilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out) and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out)).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Lavello won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Lavello won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Lavello
Italian Serie D - Group H
04.12.22	Matera - Lavello	3:2 ✺
27.11.22	Lavello - Bitonto	0:3 ✺
20.11.22	Barletta - Lavello	3:2 ✺
13.11.22	Lavello - Cavese	2:1 ✺
06.11.22	Altamura - Lavello	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLLWL
- FC Francavilla
Italian Serie D - Group H
04.12.22	Francavilla - Gravina	1:1 ✺
27.11.22	Francavilla - Cavese	3:4 ✺
20.11.22	Bitonto - Francavilla	1:0 ✺
13.11.22	Francavilla - Molfetta	0:1 ✺
06.11.22	Gladiator - Francavilla	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
08.05.22	Lavello - Francavilla	1:3
19.12.21	Francavilla - Lavello	3:1
07.03.21	Lavello - Francavilla	6:2

Lavello - Francavilla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide