Match Info

Premiere Ligue Women - Round 16

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade Océane (Le Havre)

Referee: Fournier R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN App
Ecuador	DAZN App
Peru	DAZN App
Venezuela	DAZN App
International	FIFA+


	Le Havre		Paris FC

	1	X	2
	5.9	4.25	1.42
	6.29	4.34	1.47	Watch
	6	3.9	1.4
	6.83	4.15	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.26 ↓ (6.91)	4.16 ↓ (4.26)	1.42 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Havre
14.5%

Draw
21.8%

Paris FC
63.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

13.2%

21.4%

65.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.5%

19.5%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Paris FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Le Havre aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Le Havre - Paris FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Philippe L. (G) 18. Kouache E. 3. Baron A. 38. Dore M. 14. Enguehard R. (C) 17. Kassi S. 22. Gavory C. 20. Rossi F. 80. Paljevic E. 19. Mbakem-Niaro E. 21. Effa Effa C.	16. Chavas M. (G) 18. N'Dongala M. 2. Hocine C. 19. Greboval T. 3. Bogaert L. 4. Korosec K. 24. Le Moguedec A. 7. Garbino M. 10. Mateo C. (C) 9. Azzaro L. 27. Mendy M.
Substitutes
9. Adjabi I. 15. Boucly M. 6. Demeyere S. 29. Launay E. (G) 37. Lefevre E. 11. Mendy M. 23. Nassi J.	29. Davis D. 20. Jedlinska K. 26. Liaigre F. 1. Marques I. (G) 21. Picard O. 11. Scott S. 5. Sylla K.
Coaches
Di Liberto M.	Soubeyrand S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Kassi S. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Garbino M. ⚽,
34', Mbakem-Niaro E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Kassi S. ↓, Lefevre E. ↑,
46', Rossi F. ↓, Nassi J. ↑,
50', 0 - 2, Garbino M. ⚽,
51', 0 - 3, Mendy M. (Penalty Awarded),
53', Dore M. ↓, Boucly M. ↑,
53', Mbakem-Niaro E. ↓, Mendy M. ↑,
58', Hocine C. ↓, Davis D. ↑,
58', Garbino M. ↓, Jedlinska K. ↑,
64', Mateo C. ↓, Scott S. ↑,
70', Effa Effa C. ↓, Demeyere S. ↑,
75', Greboval T. ↓, Sylla K. ↑,
76', Le Moguedec A. ↓, Picard O. ↑,
78', 0 - 4, Azzaro L. ⚽,
90', Gavory C. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Le Havre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Paris FC is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 7:32. (average 0.6:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Le Havre won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.6:2.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Paris FC W	5	4	0	1	13:8	5	12
6	Le Havre W	5	2	1	2	6:11	-5	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Havre AC Women
French Division 1 Women
07.02.26	Montpellier - Le Havre	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Saint-Étienne - Le Havre	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France Women
25.01.26	Nice - Le Havre	1:2 ✺
French Division 1 Women
17.01.26	Le Havre - Paris Saint-Germain	0:4 ✺
14.01.26	Le Havre - Fleury 91	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WTWLT
- Paris FC Women
UEFA Champions League Women
18.02.26	Real Madrid - Paris FC	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Paris FC - Real Madrid	2:3 ✺
French Division 1 Women
07.02.26	Paris FC - Paris Saint-Germain	0:3 ✺
30.01.26	Olympique Marseille - Paris FC	0:3 ✺
Coupe De France Women
25.01.26	Saint-Malo - Paris FC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Division 1 Women
06.12.25	Paris FC - Le Havre	3:0
08.01.25	Le Havre - Paris FC	0:2
29.09.24	Paris FC - Le Havre	8:0
06.03.24	Paris FC - Le Havre	3:2
Coupe De France Women
27.01.24	Le Havre - Paris FC	0:2
French Division 1 Women
06.10.23	Le Havre - Paris FC	1:4
21.01.23	Le Havre - Paris FC	1:3

Le Havre - Paris FC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide