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Real Madrid - Paris FC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • Champions League Women - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Date: 18 February 2026, Wednesday
  • Location: Alfredo di Stéfano Stadium (Madrid)
  • Referee: Demetrescu I. (Rou)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Real Madrid Paris FC
    Real Madrid Paris FC
    1 X 2
    #Advertisement. GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ 1.36 4.75 6.25
    betsson 1.37 4.95 6.4
    Bet_in_Asia 1.38 5.52 6.31
    GGBet 1.39 5.41 6.37 Watch and Bet Watch
    Williamhill 1.3 4.8 6
    BetNow 1.33 5.05 6.67
    Bovada 1.4 5 6
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.36 ↑
    (1.17)    		 5.07 ↓
    (6.58)    		 6.29 ↓
    (12)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

    • The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

    #Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

    Current Win Probability

    Real Madrid
    67.3%    		Draw
    18.1%    		Paris FC
    14.6%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    78.5% 13.9% 7.6%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Madrid's form might have worsened.
  • Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paris FC's recent form is better than expected.

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    83.3% 16.7% 0%

    Real Madrid - Paris FC Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Real Madrid will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real Madrid: 62.2% – 100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Madrid (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1.5 - Real Madrid (1.99) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Madrid (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Paris FC (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. SpainMisa (C)
    19. SpainNavarro E.
    14. SpainMendez M.
    23. FranceLakrar M.
    12. BrazilYasmim
    10. ScotlandWeir C.
      8. GermanyDabritz S.
    16. SwedenAngeldal F.
      7. Spaindel Castillo A.
    20. FranceFeller N.
    18. ColombiaCaicedo L.
    		16. FranceChavas M. (G)
    18. FranceN'Dongala M.
      2. FranceHocine C.
    19. FranceGreboval T.
      3. FranceBogaert L.
    26. FranceLiaigre F.
      7. FranceGarbino M.
      4. SloveniaKorosec K.
    21. FrancePicard O.
    24. FranceLe Moguedec A.
    10. FranceMateo C. (C)
    Substitutes
    22. SwedenAndersson B.
      2. BrazilAntonia
    17. SwedenBennison H.
      5. SpainComendador P.
    28. SpainDorado I.
    13. GermanyFrohms M. (G)
      4. SpainGalvez Luna R.
    15. SpainGarcia S.
    21. DenmarkHolmgaard S.
    11. SpainRedondo A.
    43. SpainSantiago I.
      6. FranceToletti S.
    		  9. FranceAzzaro L.
    29. USADavis D.
    22. NorwayHaheim N.
    20. PolandJedlinska K.
      1. FranceMarques I. (G)
    30. PortugalMendonca R. (G)
    27. FranceMendy M.
    15. FranceSangare H.
    11. CostaScott S.
    23. MaliSissoko T.
      5. FranceSylla K.
    14. FranceYerro S.
    Coaches
         SpainQuesada P.
    		     FranceSoubeyrand S.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 0)
    • 5', Greboval T. 🟥,
    • 11', Garbino M. ↓, Davis D. ↑,
    • 36', Weir C. (Penalty Awarded),
    • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
    • 46', Weir C. ↓, Toletti S. ↑,
    • 54', 1 - 0, Feller N. ⚽, Navarro E. (A),
    • 64', Le Moguedec A. ↓, Sangare H. ↑,
    • 64', Liaigre F. ↓, Jedlinska K. ↑,
    • 67', 2 - 0, N'Dongala M. (Own goal), Navarro E. (A),
    • 74', Yasmim ↓, Holmgaard S. ↑,
    • 74', Feller N. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
    • 78', Hocine C. ↓, Sylla K. ↑,
    • 78', Picard O. ↓, Mendy M. ↑,
    • 83', Mendez M. 🟨,
    • 88', Angeldal F. ↓, Bennison H. ↑,
    • 88', Caicedo L. ↓, Redondo A. ↑,

    Preview

  • First leg result: 3-2. Second leg.
  • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
  • Real Madrid is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
  • Paris FC has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
  • Paris FC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • In this match, Real Madrid is seen as the favorite.
  • We predict that Real Madrid will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
  • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Real Madrid won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

    • Outrights of UEFA Champions League Women for now
    Real Madrid W: 1.78% Paris FC W: 0.41%

    Standings

    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    12Real Madrid W20202:202
    14Paris FC W20114:7-31

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Real Madrid Women
    Spanish Liga F Women
    15.02.26 Alhama - Real Madrid 0:3 ✺
    UEFA Champions League Women
    11.02.26 Paris FC - Real Madrid 2:3 ✺
    Spanish Liga F Women
    08.02.26 Real Madrid - Espanyol 3:0 ✺
    Spanish Copa De La Reina
    05.02.26 Real Madrid - Barcelona 0:4 ✺
    Spanish Liga F Women
    01.02.26 Deportivo A Coruña - Real Madrid 2:4 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2
    WWWLW
    - Paris FC Women
    UEFA Champions League Women
    11.02.26 Paris FC - Real Madrid 2:3 ✺
    French Division 1 Women
    07.02.26 Paris FC - Paris Saint-Germain 0:3 ✺
    30.01.26 Olympique Marseille - Paris FC 0:3 ✺
    Coupe De France Women
    25.01.26 Saint-Malo - Paris FC 0:1 ✺
    French Division 1 Women
    18.01.26 Paris FC - OL Lyonnes 0:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5
    LLWWT
    Latest Head to Head
    UEFA Champions League Women
    11.02.26 Paris FC - Real Madrid 2:3
    11.11.25 Real Madrid - Paris FC 1:1
    20.12.23 Real Madrid - Paris FC 0:1
    14.12.23 Paris FC - Real Madrid 2:1

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