The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leamington 41.6%
Draw 26.1%
Redditch United 32.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.2%
28.1%
36.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.2%
28.1%
36.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leamington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leamington's performance.
Redditch United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leamington than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leamington that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Redditch United than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Leamington - Redditch United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
29', 0 - 1, Whyte-Hall S. ⚽,
30', 0 - 2, Whyte-Hall S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
69', (Penalty Awarded),
90+3', 1 - 2, Wreh C. ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 16th and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leamington won 4.
Leamington is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Redditch shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Recently, Leamington has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Leamington has recorded 8 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:5 (averaging 1.5:0.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Leamington against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 8:2 goals (averaging 1.6:0.4 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
13
Redditch
12
4
5
3
19:17
2
17
20
Leamington
14
2
4
8
19:26
-7
10
Last Results with these Odds
Leamington - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.24%, but this team recently wins 15% of matches with these odds.
Redditch United - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 36.68%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.