Match Info

FA Cup - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 September 2026, Tuesday


	Gainsborough Trinity		Leamington

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.50	3.75
	1.73	3.50	3.80
	2.00	3.50	3.00
	1.78	3.92	3.83
	2.4	3.65	2.64	Watch
	1.68	3.85	3.60
	1.84	3.68	3.94	Watch
	1.79	3.60	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.83)	3.65 ↑ (3.57)	3.55 ↓ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gainsborough Trinity
49%

Draw
25.1%

Leamington
25.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.8%

25.5%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

24.8%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gainsborough Trinity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Leamington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gainsborough Trinity than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leamington than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Gainsborough Trinity - Leamington Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gainsborough will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

First leg result: 1-1. Replay (first match was draw).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gainsborough won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

In this matchup, Gainsborough is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Gainsborough has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:11 (averaging 0.8:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Gainsborough against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 5:3 goals (averaging 1.3:0.8 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Gainsborough Trinity - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 49.75%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Leamington - the odds 3.68 are the expected chance of winning is 24.72%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gainsborough Trinity
English FA Cup
19.09.26	Leamington - Gainsborough Trinity	1:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
12.09.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Avro	0:2 ✺
31.08.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Cleethorpes Town	0:3 ✺
28.08.26	Ashton United - Gainsborough Trinity	1:2 ✺
25.08.26	Quorn - Gainsborough Trinity	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLLWT
- Leamington
English FA Cup
19.09.26	Leamington - Gainsborough Trinity	1:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
12.09.26	Bishops Stortford - Leamington	3:1 ✺
01.09.26	Stourbridge - Leamington	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Leamington - Worcester City	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Bury Town - Leamington	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
19.09.26	Leamington - Gainsborough Trinity	1:1
English National League North
23.01.18	Leamington - Gainsborough Trinity	3:0
English FA Cup
03.10.17	Gainsborough Trinity - Leamington	2:0
30.09.17	Leamington - Gainsborough Trinity	0:0
English National League North
05.08.17	Gainsborough Trinity - Leamington	1:2
14.03.15	Gainsborough Trinity - Leamington	1:0
14.02.15	Leamington - Gainsborough Trinity	2:1

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