The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leamington 45.1%
Draw 26.4%
Hitchin Town 28.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.4%
25.6%
29%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.9%
25.3%
29.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leamington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Hitchin Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leamington than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hitchin Town than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Leamington - Hitchin Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
31', Freitas-Gouveia D. (Penalty Awarded),
33', 1 - 0, Tonge K. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
53', 2 - 0, Kabeya N. ⚽,
64', 3 - 0, Farmer O. ⚽,
90+3', 4 - 0, Finn K. ⚽,
Preview
A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 18th and 17th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leamington won 2.
Leamington is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Hitchin has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Hitchin could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Leamington has faced a series of away games on the road.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Leamington holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Leamington has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:7 (averaging 1.3:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Leamington against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 5:4 goals (averaging 1.3:1 per game).
Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now
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