Match Info

Primera C - Round 23

Date: 9 August 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Lugano		Victoriano Arenas

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.75	2.90
	2.42	2.82	2.92
	2.49	2.46	3.17
	2.5	2.64	3.18
	2.40	2.40	3.10
	2.46	2.82	2.94
	2.40	2.70	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.63)	2.66 ↓ (2.88)	3.03 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugano
36.8%

Draw
33.7%

Victoriano Arenas
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

31%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

31.9%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Victoriano Arenas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Victoriano Arenas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Victoriano Arenas than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Victoriano Arenas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lugano - Victoriano Arenas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Lugano is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Victoriano Arenas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Lugano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Lugano - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 33.96%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Victoriano Arenas - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.03%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Lugano
Argentinian Primera C
31.07.26	Defensores de Cambaceres - Lugano	1:2 ✺
25.07.26	Lugano - Centro Español	1:0 ✺
17.07.26	Lugano - Sportivo Barracas	3:2 ✺
12.07.26	Juventud Unida de San Miguel - Lugano	0:0 ✺
04.07.26	Lugano - Justo José de Urquiza	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWTT
- Victoriano Arenas
Argentinian Primera C
31.07.26	Centro Español - Victoriano Arenas	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Victoriano Arenas - Justo José de Urquiza	0:0 ✺
17.07.26	Deportivo Español - Victoriano Arenas	1:0 ✺
12.07.26	Mercedes - Victoriano Arenas	1:1 ✺
05.07.26	Victoriano Arenas - Deportivo Paraguayo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
12.04.26	Victoriano Arenas - Lugano	0:0
13.07.24	Lugano - Victoriano Arenas	0:0
10.02.24	Victoriano Arenas - Lugano	2:1

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