Match Info

Date: 26 February 2022, Saturday


	Leatherhead		Hornchurch

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.9	1.7
	4.1	3.65	1.69
	4.2	3.85	1.76
	3.25	3.75	1.8
	4.15	3.92	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.88 ↑ (3.3)	3.81 ↑ (3.74)	1.73 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leatherhead
23.5%

Draw
23.9%

Hornchurch
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

24.2%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

19%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leatherhead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Hornchurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leatherhead than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hornchurch could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Leatherhead - Hornchurch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leatherhead won 1.

Recent matches Leatherhead is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hornchurch in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Leatherhead could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Hornchurch have a series of home games.

Hornchurch will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Leatherhead won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Leatherhead won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leatherhead
English Isthmian League Premier Division
12.02.22	Leatherhead - Bognor Regis Town	2:2 ✺
08.02.22	Leatherhead - Margate	0:0 ✺
05.02.22	Cheshunt - Leatherhead	1:0 ✺
29.01.22	Leatherhead - Bishops Stortford	0:0 ✺
22.01.22	Haringey Borough - Leatherhead	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 TTLTW
- AFC Hornchurch
English Isthmian League Premier Division
19.02.22	Hornchurch - East Thurrock United	6:0 ✺
12.02.22	Hornchurch - Folkestone Invicta	4:1 ✺
05.02.22	Haringey Borough - Hornchurch	3:3 ✺
29.01.22	Hornchurch - Lewes	3:1 ✺
25.01.22	Hornchurch - Horsham	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
16.10.21	Hornchurch - Leatherhead	1:1
18.01.20	Hornchurch - Leatherhead	1:1
19.10.19	Leatherhead - Hornchurch	2:1
23.02.19	Leatherhead - Hornchurch	1:2
11.08.18	Hornchurch - Leatherhead	3:0
03.03.15	Hornchurch - Leatherhead	1:3
23.08.14	Leatherhead - Hornchurch	1:2

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