Match Info

Date: 16 May 2021, Sunday


	Lebrijana		Sevilla C

	1	X	2
	3.15	3.05	1.98
	2.8	3.45	2.15
	2.81	3.42	2.19
	3.2	3.04	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (4.82)	3.24 ↓ (3.74)	2.14 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lebrijana
30.1%

Draw
27.8%

Sevilla C
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

24.2%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.5%

20%

69%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lebrijana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lebrijana's performance.

Sevilla C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sevilla C might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lebrijana than the current prediction. (-14.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lebrijana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla C than the current prediction. (+26.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sevilla C could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lebrijana - Sevilla C Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Lebrijana has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Sevilla C is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sevilla C could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Sevilla C will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Lebrijana won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UB Lebrijana
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
09.05.21	Gerena - Lebrijana	5:0 ✺
02.05.21	Lebrijana - Castilleja	0:0 ✺
25.04.21	Coria CF - Lebrijana	1:0 ✺
18.04.21	Lebrijana - La Palma	0:2 ✺
14.04.21	Sevilla C - Lebrijana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTLLL
- Sevilla FC C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
12.05.21	Sevilla C - Cabecense	1:1 ✺
14.04.21	Sevilla C - Lebrijana	1:0 ✺
04.04.21	Puente Genil - Sevilla C	1:0 ✺
28.03.21	Sevilla C - Gerena	2:0 ✺
21.03.21	Pozoblanco - Sevilla C	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
14.04.21	Sevilla C - Lebrijana	1:0
26.02.20	Sevilla C - Lebrijana	2:0
23.12.18	Sevilla C - Lebrijana	3:2
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
01.11.17	Sevilla C - Lebrijana	1:4

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