Match Info

Primavera 1 - Round 36

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Comunale (San Pietro in Lama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Primavera TV


	Lecce U20		Empoli U20

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.4	3.3
	1.87	3.6	3.5
	1.9	3.88	3.56
	1.91	3.79	3.62	Watch
	1.84	3.64	4
	1.87	3.6	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.28)	3.65 ↑ (3.38)	3.58 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lecce U20
49%

Draw
25.2%

Empoli U20
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

27.2%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

26.4%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecce U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lecce U20's performance.

Empoli U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Empoli U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce U20 than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lecce U20 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli U20 than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Empoli U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lecce U20 - Empoli U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rafaila V. (G) 27. Ubani M. 3. Esposito S. 5. Pehlivanov C. 4. Addo V. 7. Winkelmann T. 6. Gorter O. 8. Kovac N. 10. Yilmaz E. 17. Agrimi M. 24. Delle Monache M.	13. Vertua F. (G) 2. Moray J. 15. Falcusan D. 33. Mannelli M. 47. Egan M. 39. Baralla A. 27. Matteazzi E. 7. El Biache N. 3. Majdandzic P. 77. Popov B. 98. Tordiglione N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Popov B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Pehlivanov C. ↓, Pacia F. ↑,
46', Kovac N. ↓, Mboko Y. ↑,
51', 🟨,
66', Addo V. ↓, Minerva F. ↑,
75', Egan M. ↓, Barsotti L. ↑,
75', Tordiglione N. ↓, Zanaga E. ↑,
80', Gorter O. ↓, Regetas D. ↑,
82', El Biache N. ↓, Trdan M. ↑,
86', 🟨,
87', Baralla A. ↓, Rugani T. ↑,
87', Popov B. ↓, Huqi M. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Primavera 1 (Play Out: )).

In recent matches, Lecce U20 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Empoli U20 is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Empoli U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lecce U20 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lecce U20
Italian Primavera 1
27.04.25	Torino U20 - Lecce U20	2:5 ✺
19.04.25	Lecce U20 - Fiorentina U20	3:1 ✺
12.04.25	Bologna U20 - Lecce U20	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Lecce U20 - Genoa U20	0:2 ✺
29.03.25	Cagliari U20 - Lecce U20	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWTLT
- Empoli U20
Italian Primavera 1
27.04.25	Bologna U20 - Empoli U20	2:0 ✺
18.04.25	Empoli U20 - Milan U20	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Lazio U20 - Empoli U20	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Empoli U20 - Sassuolo U20	1:2 ✺
30.03.25	Torino U20 - Empoli U20	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Primavera 1
01.09.24	Empoli U20 - Lecce U20	1:1

Lecce U20 - Empoli U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide