Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - PROMOTION - PLAY OFFS - FINAL

Date: 18 June 2023, Sunday


	Lecco		Foggia

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.5
	2.6	3.05	2.43
	2.53	3.12	2.55
	3.2	3.1	2.1
	2.7	3.25	2.45
	2.65	3.15	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (3.24)	3.13 ↓ (3.29)	2.42 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lecco
33.6%

Draw
29%

Foggia
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

27.9%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

28.2%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lecco's performance.

Foggia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Foggia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lecco that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Foggia than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Foggia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	14.3%	57.1%

Lecco - Foggia Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Lecco will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Foggia will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Melgrati R. (G) 2. Celjak V. 44. Bianconi A. 13. Battistini M. 7. Giudici L. (C) 98. Zuccon F. 96. Galli G. 21. Girelli S. 32. Lepore F. 99. Buso N. 18. Pinzauti L.	22. Domingo J. (G) 21. Leo D. 4. Kontek I. 3. Rizzo A. (C) 2. Garattoni A. 26. Frigerio M. R. 28. Di Noia G. 7. Schenetti A. 27. Bjarkason B. 10. Peralta D. 9. Ogunseye R.
Substitutes
45. Bunino C. 31. Cusumano F. 5. Enrici P. 20. Ilari C. 8. Lakti E. 97. Maffi F. (G) 3. Maldini C. 90. Mangni D. 17. Martorelli C. 10. Scapuzzi L. 14. Stanga L. 22. Stucchi S. (G) 11. Tordini M. 23. Zambataro E.	11. Beretta G. 91. Capogna P. 6. Di Pasquale D. 44. Iacoponi D. 31. Markic T. 20. Ngagne D. (G) 15. Nobile T. (G) 77. Odjer M. 25. Petermann D. 1. Raccichini M. (G) 98. Rutjens C. 5. Vacca A.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Foggia will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lecco won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
13.06.23	Foggia - Lecco	1:2 ✺
08.06.23	Cesena - Lecco	0:1 ✺
04.06.23	Lecco - Cesena	1:2 ✺
31.05.23	Pordenone - Lecco	1:3 ✺
27.05.23	Lecco - Pordenone	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 WWLWL
- Foggia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
13.06.23	Foggia - Lecco	1:2 ✺
08.06.23	Pescara - Foggia	2:3 penalties ✺
04.06.23	Foggia - Pescara	2:2 ✺
31.05.23	Crotone - Foggia	2:2 ✺
27.05.23	Foggia - Crotone	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
13.06.23	Foggia - Lecco	1:2

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