Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 4

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi (Lecco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Lecco		Giana Erminio

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.10	3.80
	1.9	3.15	3.9	Watch
	1.98	3.23	4.08
	1.93	3.17	3.92	Watch
	1.94	3.15	3.7
	1.94	3.08	3.83	Watch
	1.9	3.2	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2)	3.15 (3.15)	3.87 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lecco
47.5%

Draw
28.9%

Giana Erminio
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

29%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

27.7%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Giana Erminio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Lecco - Giana Erminio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Vettorel T. (G) 27. Triacca D. 5. Arena M. 3. Sinn L. 11. Urso O. 6. Mallamo A. 21. Metlika A. 8. Bonaiti S. (C) 45. Rizzo M. 17. Pellegrino G. 79. Moutassime A.	22. Mazza A. (G) 23. Tornaghi P. 60. Rovinelli E. 24. Ruffini L. 11. Comelli S. 14. Marotta M. 26. Ballabio M. 7. Pinto D. (C) 3. Nucifero T. 10. Renda F. 8. Magazzu L.
Substitutes
13. Bordoni T. 9. Casarotto M. 4. Comi P. 1. Dalmasso J. (G) 83. Fama S. 30. Fasan N. 19. Litti M. 99. Manetti G. 20. Mihali L. 75. Nova E. 24. Sidler S. 12. Zouaghi T. (G)	12. Azzolari E. (G) 28. Di Bitonto C. 5. Ghezzi S. 13. Golin M. 27. Manzoni F. 19. Mora C. 21. Muhameti E. 4. Piazza A. 9. Quaggio A. 6. Saggionetto N. 29. Samele L. 25. Zanchetta M. 1. Zenti A. (G)
Coaches
Valente F.	Gambirasio A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Arena M. ⚽, Urso O. (A),
32', Sinn L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rizzo M. ↓, Litti M. ↑,
61', Rovinelli E. 🟨,
63', Pellegrino G. ↓, Fasan N. ↑,
63', Urso O. ↓, Sidler S. ↑,
65', Magazzu L. ↓, Quaggio A. ↑,
65', Marotta M. ↓, Zanchetta M. ↑,
72', Tornaghi P. ↓, Ghezzi S. ↑,
73', Mallamo A. ↓, Mihali L. ↑,
73', Sinn L. ↓, Comi P. ↑,
75', Litti M. 🟨,
78', Ballabio M. ↓, Muhameti E. ↑,
78', Nucifero T. ↓, Di Bitonto C. ↑,
90+1', Renda F. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lecco won 3.

Lecco has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Giana Erminio has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Lecco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Lecco is considered a favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Lecco won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 0.9:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Lecco won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Lecco	8	2	3	3	6:8	-2	9
19	Giana Erminio	8	0	4	4	6:10	-4	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
07.09.26	Trento - Lecco	1:0 ✺
31.08.26	Treviso - Lecco	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Lecco - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.08.26	Lecco - Desenzano Calvina	0:1 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.26	Lecco - Inter U23	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL
- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie C Group A
06.09.26	Giana Erminio - Dolomiti Bellunesi	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.09.26	Brescia - Giana Erminio	5:2 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
30.08.26	Lumezzane - Giana Erminio	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Giana Erminio - AlbinoLeffe	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.08.26	Giana Erminio - Folgore Caratese	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
06.05.26	Lecco - Giana Erminio	2:1
11.02.26	Giana Erminio - Lecco	0:1
28.09.25	Lecco - Giana Erminio	0:0
31.03.25	Lecco - Giana Erminio	1:0
16.11.24	Giana Erminio - Lecco	1:0
23.02.22	Lecco - Giana Erminio	1:0
11.09.21	Giana Erminio - Lecco	0:1

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