Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 29

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi (Lecco)

Referee: Pezzuto I. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Lecco		Palermo

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.6	2.05	Watch
	3.3	3.6	2
	3.4	3.6	2	Watch
	3.57	3.69	2.1
	3.57	3.69	2.1
	3.6	3.75	1.85
	3.45	3.7	2.04	Watch
	3.35	3.55	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↓ (3.82)	3.65 ↓ (3.81)	2.02 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lecco
27.3%

Draw
25.9%

Palermo
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Palermo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	6.7%	80%

Lecco - Palermo Predictions

Users Predictions: Palermo will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Melgrati R. (G) 83. Lemmens M. 68. Ierardi M. 13. Capradossi E. 17. Caporale A. 14. Parigini V. 96. Galli G. 5. Degli Innocenti D. 27. Ionita A. 90. Novakovich A. 45. Inglese R.	22. Pigliacelli M. (G) 23. Diakite S. 18. Nedelcearu I. 32. Ceccaroni P. 3. Lund K. 14. Ranocchia F. 4. Gomes C. 8. Segre J. 10. Di Mariano F. 9. Brunori M. (C) 17. Di Francesco F.
Substitutes
81. Beretta G. 6. Bianconi A. 99. Buso N. 21. Crociata G. 26. Frigerio M. R. 44. Guglielmotti D. 32. Lepore F. 29. Listkowski M. 7. Lunetta G. 10. Salcedo E. 11. Salomaa H. 22. Saracco U. (G)	31. Aurelio G. 25. Buttaro A. 80. Coulibaly M. 1. Desplanches S. (G) 2. Graves S. 53. Henderson L. 11. Insigne R. 13. Kanuric A. (G) 7. Mancuso L. 27. Soleri E. 70. Traore C. 20. Vasic A.
Coaches
Aglietti A.	Corini E.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Lecco has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Palermo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Palermo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lecco won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie B
02.03.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Lecco	1:0 ✺
27.02.24	Lecco - Como	0:3 ✺
24.02.24	Ternana - Lecco	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Lecco - Nuova Cosenza	1:3 ✺
10.02.24	Bari - Lecco	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLTLL
- U.S. Città di Palermo
Italian Serie B
02.03.24	Brescia - Palermo	4:2 ✺
27.02.24	Palermo - Ternana	2:3 ✺
24.02.24	Cremonese - Palermo	2:2 ✺
17.02.24	Palermo - Como	3:0 ✺
10.02.24	FeralpiSalò - Palermo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
29.10.23	Palermo - Lecco	1:2

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