Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 27

Date: 27 February 2024, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Renzo Barbera (Palermo)

Referee: Bonacina K. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Palermo		Ternana

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.2	5	Watch
	1.61	4.1	4.8
	1.63	4	4.75	Watch
	1.64	4.05	5.2
	1.64	4.13	5.57
	1.64	4.2	4.89	Watch
	1.62	4.1	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.74)	4.11 ↑ (3.91)	5 ↑ (4.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palermo
58.1%

Draw
23%

Ternana
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

24.2%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

23.6%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Palermo - Ternana Predictions

Users Predictions: Palermo will win (16 of 16 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pigliacelli M. (G) 23. Diakite S. 18. Nedelcearu I. 32. Ceccaroni P. 3. Lund K. 14. Ranocchia F. 4. Gomes C. 8. Segre J. 70. Traore C. 9. Brunori M. 10. Di Mariano F.	1. Iannarilli A. (G) 32. Sgarbi F. 19. Capuano M. 6. Dalle Mura C. 72. Amatucci L. 15. Casasola T. 71. Luperini G. 66. Pyyhtia N. 79. Carboni F. 9. Raimondo A. 10. Pereiro G.
Substitutes
31. Aurelio G. 80. Coulibaly M. 17. Di Francesco F. 2. Graves S. 53. Henderson L. 11. Insigne R. 13. Kanuric A. (G) 7. Mancuso L. 15. Marconi I. 27. Soleri E. 6. Stulac L. 20. Vasic A.	5. Boloca G. 8. de Boer K. 65. Dionisi F. 28. Di Stefano F. 16. Faticanti G. 17. Favilli A. 22. Franchi D. (G) 25. Labojko J. 44. Lucchesi L. 73. Marginean I. 4. Sorensen F. 3. Zoia R.
Coaches
Corini E.	Breda R.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Palermo won 0.

Palermo is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ternana is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Palermo is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Palermo to win the game is with odds 1.6.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Palermo won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Palermo won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- U.S. Città di Palermo
Italian Serie B
24.02.24	Cremonese - Palermo	2:2 ✺
17.02.24	Palermo - Como	3:0 ✺
10.02.24	FeralpiSalò - Palermo	1:2 ✺
02.02.24	Palermo - Bari	3:0 ✺
26.01.24	Catanzaro - Palermo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TWWWT
- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie B
24.02.24	Ternana - Lecco	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Reggiana - Ternana	0:2 ✺
11.02.24	Ternana - Spezia	1:1 ✺
03.02.24	Ternana - Como	0:1 ✺
27.01.24	Venezia - Ternana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
26.11.23	Ternana - Palermo	1:1
28.02.23	Palermo - Ternana	0:0
08.10.22	Ternana - Palermo	3:0
Italian Serie C Group C
03.02.21	Palermo - Ternana	1:1
07.10.20	Ternana - Palermo	0:0
Italian Serie B
05.05.18	Ternana - Palermo	2:3
16.12.17	Palermo - Ternana	1:0

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