Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 28

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Marco Druso (Bolzano)

Referee: Santoro A. (Ita)


	Südtirol-Alto Adige		Lecco

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	3.6	Watch
	2.25	3	3.3
	2.25	3	3.4	Watch
	2.29	3.15	3.5
	2.32	3.1	3.63
	2.23	3.08	3.59	Watch
	2.25	3.05	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.24)	3.05 ↓ (3.15)	3.49 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Südtirol-Alto Adige
41.8%

Draw
31%

Lecco
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

29.9%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

29.6%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Lecco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	28.6%	0%

Südtirol Alto Adige - Lecco Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Südtirol will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Poluzzi G. (G) 30. Giorgini A. 2. Scaglia F. 55. Masiello A. 79. Molina S. 21. Tait F. (C) 4. Arrigoni T. 27. Kurtic J. 24. Davi S. 17. Casiraghi D. 23. Rauti N.	1. Melgrati R. (G) 44. Guglielmotti D. 13. Capradossi E. 68. Ierardi M. 32. Lepore F. 27. Ionita A. 5. Degli Innocenti D. 21. Crociata G. 14. Parigini V. 45. Inglese R. 99. Buso N.
Substitutes
15. Broh J. T. 3. Cagnano A. 11. Ciervo R. 25. Cisco A. 12. Drago G. (G) 94. El Kaouakibi H. 28. Kofler R. 77. Lonardi L. 8. Mallamo A. 33. Merkaj S. 90. Odogwu R. 42. Peeters D.	81. Beretta G. 6. Bianconi A. 2. Celjak V. 26. Frigerio M. R. 96. Galli G. 83. Lemmens M. 29. Listkowski M. 7. Lunetta G. 90. Novakovich A. 10. Salcedo E. 22. Saracco U. (G) 8. Sersanti A.
Coaches
Valente F.	Aglietti A.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Südtirol is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lecco has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Südtirol will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Südtirol won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Südtirol won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B
27.02.24	Reggiana - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Bari	1:0 ✺
17.02.24	Catanzaro - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:2 ✺
10.02.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Venezia	0:3 ✺
04.02.24	Ascoli - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 TWTLW
- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie B
27.02.24	Lecco - Como	0:3 ✺
24.02.24	Ternana - Lecco	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Lecco - Nuova Cosenza	1:3 ✺
10.02.24	Bari - Lecco	3:1 ✺
03.02.24	Lecco - Cremonese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
26.12.23	Lecco - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:1
Italian Serie C Group A
02.04.22	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Lecco	1:1
28.11.21	Lecco - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:1

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