Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 27

Date: 27 February 2024, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi (Lecco)

Referee: Feliciani E. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Italy	Sky Sport


	Lecco		Como

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.4	2.05	Watch
	3.5	3.4	2
	3.4	3.4	2.1	Watch
	3.6	3.35	2.1
	3.89	3.42	2.09
	3.73	3.58	1.99	Watch
	3.5	3.35	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↓ (4.14)	3.41 ↓ (3.66)	2.06 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lecco
26.1%

Draw
27.8%

Como
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

25.9%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

25.4%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Como has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Como might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Como than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Como could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	15.4%	76.9%

Lecco - Como Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Lecco will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Como will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Como: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Saracco U. (G) 44. Guglielmotti D. 68. Ierardi M. 2. Celjak V. 17. Caporale A. 27. Ionita A. 96. Galli G. 29. Listkowski M. 32. Lepore F. 90. Novakovich A. 99. Buso N.	1. Semper A. (G) 6. Iovine A. 26. Odenthal C. 2. Goldaniga E. 3. Sala M. 28. Abildgaard O. 21. Strefezza G. 14. Bellemo A. (C) 90. Verdi S. 33. Da Cunha L. 77. Nsame J.
Substitutes
81. Beretta G. 6. Bianconi A. 13. Capradossi E. 21. Crociata G. 5. Degli Innocenti D. 26. Frigerio M. R. 45. Inglese R. 83. Lemmens M. 7. Lunetta G. 1. Melgrati R. (G) 14. Parigini V. 8. Sersanti A.	70. Ballet S. 93. Barba F. 27. Braunoder M. 84. Cassandro T. 5. Curto M. 99. Fumagalli T. 9. Gabrielloni A. 23. Gioacchini N. 44. Ioannou N. 32. Rispoli F. 4. Solini M. 22. Vigorito M. (G)
Coaches
Aglietti A.	Roberts O.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Lecco has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Como is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Como will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lecco won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Lecco won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie B
24.02.24	Ternana - Lecco	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Lecco - Nuova Cosenza	1:3 ✺
10.02.24	Bari - Lecco	3:1 ✺
03.02.24	Lecco - Cremonese	0:1 ✺
27.01.24	FeralpiSalò - Lecco	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLLLL
- Calcio Como
Italian Serie B
24.02.24	Como - Parma	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Palermo - Como	3:0 ✺
09.02.24	Como - Brescia	1:0 ✺
03.02.24	Ternana - Como	0:1 ✺
27.01.24	Como - Ascoli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
28.11.23	Como - Lecco	0:0
Italian Serie C Group A
07.02.21	Lecco - Como	4:0
11.10.20	Como - Lecco	0:3
27.10.19	Como - Lecco	1:1
Serie D - Winners stage
22.05.19	Como - Lecco	3:3

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