Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 9 March 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Miejski (Poznań) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Frappart S. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Poland	21:00	Viaplay
Portugal	20:00	Canal 11
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport
Sweden	21:00	TV6, Viaplay
United Kingdom	20:00	BT Sport


	Lech Poznań		Djurgården

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.5	4.5
	1.83	3.3	4.4
	1.85	3.4	4.5
	1.87	3.4	4.3
	1.85	3.51	4.73
	1.87	3.44	4.3
	1.85	3.5	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.95)	3.44 ↓ (3.49)	4.49 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lech Poznań
51.3%

Draw
27.6%

Djurgården
21.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.3%

27%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

28%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Djurgården has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Djurgården than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.3%	11.3%	26.4%

Lech Poznań - Djurgården Predictions

Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. Lech will win (votes: 33 - 62.3%). Djurgården will win (votes: 14 - 26.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 11.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lech: 49.3% – 75.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Lech was already of knockout phase, was already of round of 16, has a good chance of qtrs (66%), has a chance of semis (21%), has a small chance of final (6%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Djurgården was already of knockout phase, was already of round of 16, has a chance of qtrs (34%), has a small chance of semis (8%), has a very small chance of final (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 45, small importance 17, match rating 31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Lech is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Djurgården is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Djurgården could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lech is a favorite.

There will not play in Djurgården: Schuller R. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Lech: Satka L. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lech Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa
03.03.23	Lech Poznań - Lechia Gdańsk	5:0 ✺
26.02.23	Śląsk Wrocław - Lech Poznań	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.02.23	Lech Poznań - Bodø Glimt	1:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
19.02.23	Lech Poznań - Zagłębie Lubin	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
16.02.23	Bodø Glimt - Lech Poznań	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWLT
- Djurgårdens IF
Svenska Cupen
04.03.23	Djurgården - Brommapojkarna	2:1 ✺
26.02.23	Örebro - Djurgården	1:2 ✺
20.02.23	Djurgården - Landskrona	6:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.02.23	Djurgården - Värnamo	1:4 ✺
11.02.23	Sirius - Djurgården	0:1
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lech Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa
31.10.26	Lech Poznań - Wisła Kraków	✺
Polish Cup
28.10.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Lech Poznań	✺
- Djurgårdens IF
Swedish Allsvenskan
01.11.26	Djurgården - Degerfors	✺
28.10.26	IFK Göteborg - Djurgården	✺

Lech Poznań - Djurgården