The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lech Poznań 57.2%
Draw 23.9%
Zagłębie Lubin 18.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.9%
24.6%
19.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.1%
23.7%
18.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85%
10%
5%
Lech Poznań - Zagłębie Lubin Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Lech Poznań will win
(17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%). Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lech Poznań will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
41. Mrozek B. (G) 2. Pereira J. 72. Skrzypczak M. 16. Milic A. 4. Moutinho J. 88. Ismaheel T. 43. Kozubal A. 24. Jagiello F. 14. Bengtsson L. 9. Ishak M. (C) 99. Rodriguez P.
30. Hladun D. (G) 16. Corluka J. 25. Nalepa M. 5. Lawniczak A. 35. Lucic L. 8. Dabrowski D. (C) 39. Kocaba F. 19. Sypek J. 18. Radwanski A. 77. Szmyt K. 55. Rocha L.
Substitutes
. Agnero Y. 21. Baranski B. 3. Douglas A. 53. Dudek S. 19. Fiabema B. 15. Gurgul M. 56. Lisman K. 27. Monka W. 6. Ouma T. 77. Palma L. 33. Pruchniewski M. (G) 23. Thordarson G.
1. Buric J. (G) 27. Diaz J. 20. Dziewiatowski M. 26. Kolan J. 9. Kosidis M. 6. Makowski T. 4. Michalski D. 31. Orlikowski I. 44. Regula M. 17. Wdowiak M. 11. Wozniak A. 3. Yakuba R.
Coaches
Frederiksen N.
Ojrzynski L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Lawniczak A. ⚽, Nalepa M. (A),
18', 1 - 1, Jagiello F. ⚽, Ismaheel T. (A),
37', Moutinho J. 🟨,
37', Sypek J. 🟨,
39', Kocaba F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sypek J. ↓, Regula M. ↑,
57', Rocha L. ↓, Kosidis M. ↑,
64', Ishak M. ↓, Fiabema B. ↑,
64', Rodriguez P. ↓, Palma L. ↑,
64', Kozubal A. ↓, Thordarson G. ↑,
70', Ismaheel T. 🟨,
72', 1 - 2, Kosidis M. ⚽, Szmyt K. (A),
77', Ismaheel T. ↓, Agnero Y. ↑,
79', Szmyt K. ↓, Wdowiak M. ↑,
80', Corluka J. ↓, Orlikowski I. ↑,
82', Bengtsson L. ↓, Lisman K. ↑,
85', Radwanski A. ↓, Yakuba R. ↑,
90', Palma L. 🟨,
90+1', Kosidis M. 🟨,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lech won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
In this match, Lech is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lech won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:22. (average 1.5:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Lech won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).
Last Results with these Odds
Lech Poznań - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 55.95%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.