Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 16

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Amica Wronki Stadium (Wronki)


	Lech Poznań 2		Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce

	1	X	2
	1.52	4.05	4.75
	1.59	4.09	4.25
	1.45	4.48	5.59	Watch
	1.55	4.15	4.66	Watch
	1.44	4.2	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.45)	4.19 ↓ (4.2)	4.95 ↓ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lech Poznań 2
60.1%

Draw
21.6%

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

21.6%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

21.1%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lech Poznań 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań 2 than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Lech Poznań 2 - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
78', 0 - 1, Szewczyk F. ⚽,
81', 1 - 1, Wichtowski M. ⚽,
90', Wichtowski M. 🟥,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 13).

Lech 2 is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nowe Skalmierzyce has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Nowe Skalmierzyce may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Lech 2 is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Lech 2 will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lech 2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Lech 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lech Poznań 2
Polish Division 3 - Group II
02.11.25	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Lech Poznań 2	3:1 ✺
26.10.25	Lech Poznań 2 - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	2:1 ✺
22.10.25	Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal - Lech Poznań 2	0:2 ✺
18.10.25	Lech Poznań 2 - Cartusia Kartuzy	3:1 ✺
04.10.25	Lech Poznań 2 - Pogoń Szczecin II	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWWW
- Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
Polish Division 3 - Group II
31.10.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Cartusia Kartuzy	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Lipno Stęszew - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	0:1 ✺
11.10.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Luzino	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Noteć Czarnków	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
23.11.24	Lech Poznań 2 - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	4:1
03.08.24	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Lech Poznań 2	2:2

Upcoming Matches