Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 12

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce		Luzino

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.7	1.75
	3.68	3.7	1.78
	3.44	3.63	1.92	Watch
	3.9	3.7	1.75	Watch
	3.15	5.15	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↑ (2.7)	3.98 ↑ (3.55)	1.79 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
25.7%

Draw
23.1%

Luzino
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

25.2%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

24.6%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce's form might have worsened.

Luzino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luzino's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luzino than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luzino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Luzino Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Luzino will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Luzino (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Luzino will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Luzino (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Sosnowski F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 1 - 1, Manikowski M. ⚽,
66', 1 - 2, Konkol D. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 6).

Nowe Skalmierzyce has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Luzino is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Luzino is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nowe Skalmierzyce won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Nowe Skalmierzyce won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
Polish Division 3 - Group II
04.10.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Noteć Czarnków	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Flota Świnoujście	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	3:0 ✺
07.09.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Wda Świecie	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TTLLL
- KTS-K Luzino
Polish Division 3 - Group II
04.10.25	Luzino - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	6:2 ✺
28.09.25	Elana Toruń - Luzino	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Luzino - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal - Luzino	1:4 ✺
07.09.25	Luzino - Pogoń Szczecin II	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
24.05.24	Luzino - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	1:0
04.11.23	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Luzino	5:2

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