Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 14

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński		Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.45	5.7
	1.40	4.51	6.33	Watch
	1.36	4.5	7.1	Watch
	1.4	4.5	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.35)	4.49 ↓ (4.7)	6.22 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński
65.2%

Draw
20.2%

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

19%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3%

17.6%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Niedojad-Bednarczyk D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
79', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stargard won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Stargard is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Stargard won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Stargard won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński
Polish Division 3 - Group II
18.10.25	Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	0:2 ✺
11.10.25	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Unia Swarzędz	1:1 ✺
03.10.25	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Wda Świecie	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Luzino - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WTLLT
- Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
Polish Division 3 - Group II
18.10.25	Lipno Stęszew - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	0:1 ✺
11.10.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Luzino	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Noteć Czarnków	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Flota Świnoujście	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
08.03.25	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	1:1
17.08.24	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	0:4
13.04.24	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	2:3
16.09.23	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	0:1
03.06.23	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	0:2
05.11.22	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	1:0
11.06.22	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	1:4

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