Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 2 - ROUND 12

Date: 6 October 2023, Friday


	Stal Stalowa Wola		Lech Poznań 2

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.9	4.75
	1.52	4	5
	1.6	3.83	5.25
	1.5	3.8	5
	1.52	3.94	5.25	Watch
	1.68	3.8	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.85)	3.88 ↑ (3.6)	4.96 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stal Stalowa Wola
58.2%

Draw
23.4%

Lech Poznań 2
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

26%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

25.2%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Stalowa Wola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stal Stalowa Wola's performance.

Lech Poznań 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lech Poznań 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Stalowa Wola than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stal Stalowa Wola that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań 2 than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Stal Stalowa Wola - Lech Poznań 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Smylek M. (G) 77. Chelmecki K. 78. Gorski J. 10. Imiela A. 17. Klisiewicz L. 87. Kowalski J. 21. Mydlarz M. 55. Oko D. 88. Rogala P. 8. Soszynski L. 27. Ziarko A.	12. Medrala M. (G) 19. Brzyski I. 6. Cywka T. 11. Kalata K. 21. Maza S. 4. Monka W. 7. Orlowski M. 10. Pawlowski S. 20. Pingot M. 5. Wichtowski M. 8. Zoladz B.
Substitutes
4. Furtak L. 19. Iwao K. 7. Koscielniak D. 16. Maluga D. 20. Pioterczak B. 1. Przybek A. (G) 71. Seweryn L. 18. Sukiennicki O. 14. Wiktoruk B.	15. Juszczyk B. 16. Kornobis I. 3. Kukulka K. 9. Paclawski N. 1. Stachowiak A. (G) 2. Tudruj M. 22. Warciarek F.

Preview

Stal Stalowa Wola is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Lech 2 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lech 2 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Stal Stalowa Wola is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Stal Stalowa Wola won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Stal Stalowa Wola won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Stal Stalowa Wola
Polish Division 2
30.09.23	Olimpia Elbląg - Stal Stalowa Wola	0:0 ✺
Polish Cup
27.09.23	Stal Stalowa Wola - Znicz Pruszków	2:0 ✺
Polish Division 2
24.09.23	Stal Stalowa Wola - Polonia Bytom	1:0 ✺
16.09.23	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Stal Stalowa Wola	2:0 ✺
10.09.23	Stal Stalowa Wola - Hutnik	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 TWWLW
- Lech Poznań 2
Polish Division 2
30.09.23	Lech Poznań 2 - ŁKS Łódź II	0:3 ✺
22.09.23	Wisła Puławy - Lech Poznań 2	2:2 ✺
17.09.23	Lech Poznań 2 - Pogoń Siedlce	0:4 ✺
08.09.23	GKS Jastrzębie - Lech Poznań 2	0:2 ✺
03.09.23	Lech Poznań 2 - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
01.07.20	Stal Stalowa Wola - Lech Poznań 2	2:1
06.10.19	Lech Poznań 2 - Stal Stalowa Wola	2:2

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