Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 2 - ROUND 7

Date: 3 September 2023, Sunday


	Lech Poznań 2		Zagłębie 2 Lubin

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.8	3.8
	1.66	4.33	4.21
	1.52	3.7	5
	1.53	4.2	5.15	Watch
	1.66	3.8	4.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (2.5)	3.97 ↑ (3.25)	4.56 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lech Poznań 2
56.9%

Draw
23%

Zagłębie 2 Lubin
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

28.7%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

29.8%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lech Poznań 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lech Poznań 2's performance.

Zagłębie 2 Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zagłębie 2 Lubin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań 2 than the current prediction. (-18.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lech Poznań 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie 2 Lubin than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zagłębie 2 Lubin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Lech Poznań 2 - Zagłębie 2 Lubin Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Lech 2 will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Zagłębie 2 will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lech 2: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Pruchniewski M. (G) 25. Dagerstal F. 23. Dziuba M. 15. Gurgul M. 22. Murawski R. 53. Nadolski A. 10. Pawlowski S. 55. Pingot M. 90. Sobiech A. 54. Wilak F. 18. Wolski F.	1. Matys M. (G) 4. Jach J. 5. Karasinski S. 6. Kizyma M. (C) 11. Kruszelnicki P. 7. Masiak K. 2. Orlikowski I. 10. Popielec C. 3. Sochan K. 9. Szafranek W. 8. Terlecki K.
Substitutes
. Juszczyk B. 3. Kukulka K. 13. Niedzielski J. 14. Olejnik P. 7. Orlowski M. 9. Paclawski N. 1. Stachowiak A. (G) 5. Wichtowski M. 8. Zoladz B.	16. Antkiewicz F. 17. Dziewiatowski M. 18. Gruszecki D. 14. Kolan J. 13. Lipp M. 12. Matysek A. (G) 15. Sygieniewicz O.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1).

Lech 2 is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Zagłębie 2 is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Zagłębie 2 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Lech 2 will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lech 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Lech 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lech Poznań 2
Polish Division 2
25.08.23	Radunia Stężyca - Lech Poznań 2	1:0 ✺
20.08.23	Lech Poznań 2 - Skra Częstochowa	1:1 ✺
13.08.23	Olimpia Grudziądz - Lech Poznań 2	1:2 ✺
Polish Cup
09.08.23	Motor Lublin - Lech Poznań 2	1:0 ✺
Polish Division 2
05.08.23	Lech Poznań 2 - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTWLL
- Zagłębie 2 Lubin
Polish Division 2
26.08.23	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Olimpia Elbląg	2:1 ✺
19.08.23	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Polonia Bytom	3:0 ✺
12.08.23	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2:1 ✺
06.08.23	Hutnik - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
02.08.23	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
12.03.23	Lech Poznań 2 - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:1
10.08.22	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Lech Poznań 2	1:0

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