Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 2

Date: 26 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Polsat Plus Arena (Gdansk)

Referee: Frankowski B. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 9
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Ukraine	Sport 1, Sport 3
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV


	Lechia Gdańsk		Lech Poznań

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.6	2.1	Watch
	3.1	3.6	2.1
	3.1	3.55	2.08	Watch
	3.27	3.82	2.14
	3.21	3.75	2.11	Watch
	3.1	3.4	2.1
	3.23	3.66	2.09	Watch
	4.15	3.55	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↓ (3.73)	3.62 ↓ (3.7)	2.07 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lechia Gdańsk
28.5%

Draw
26%

Lech Poznań
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

25%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	0%	61.5%

Lechia Gdańsk - Lech Poznań Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Lechia will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Lech will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lech: 35% – 88%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lechia Gdańsk will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Weirauch S. (G) 16. Jaunzems A. 4. Pllana B. 15. Dyachuk M. 27. Vojtko M. 11. Mena C. 10. Kapic R. (C) 5. Zhelizko I. 79. Sezonienko K. 89. Bobcek T. 7. Viunnyk B.	41. Mrozek B. (G) 2. Pereira J. 72. Skrzypczak M. 16. Milic A. 15. Gurgul M. 14. Bengtsson L. 6. Ouma T. 43. Kozubal A. 17. Szymczak F. 9. Ishak M. (C) 24. Jagiello F.
Substitutes
72. Awad M. 81. Gutowski K. (G) 23. Kalahur M. 90. Kurminowski D. 99. Neugebauer T. 3. Olsson E. 17. Tsarenko A. 6. Wendt K. 33. Wojtowicz T.	31. Bakowski K. (G) 3. Douglas A. 19. Fiabema B. 8. Gholizadeh A. 20. Gumny R. 4. Moutinho J. 77. Palma L. 23. Thordarson G.
Coaches
Carver J.	Frederiksen N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', Zhelizko I. 🟨,
13', Ishak M. (Pen),
22', 1 - 0, Bobcek T. ⚽,
25', Ouma T. 🟨,
30', 2 - 0, Bobcek T. ⚽, Sezonienko K. (A),
31', Ouma T. ↓, Thordarson G. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
46', Gurgul M. ↓, Moutinho J. ↑,
48', 2 - 1, Thordarson G. ⚽,
53', Mena C. 🟨,
55', 2 - 2, Weirauch S. (Own goal),
57', Sezonienko K. ↓, Neugebauer T. ↑,
57', Szymczak F. 🟨,
64', 2 - 3, Skrzypczak M. ⚽, Jagiello F. (A),
67', Bengtsson L. ↓, Palma L. ↑,
68', Szymczak F. ↓, Gholizadeh A. ↑,
70', 2 - 4, Ishak M. ⚽, Pereira J. (A),
73', Pllana B. ↓, Awad M. ↑,
73', Viunnyk B. ↓, Kurminowski D. ↑,
79', Dyachuk M. 🟨,
86', Ishak M. ↓, Fiabema B. ↑,
87', 3 - 4, Bobcek T. ⚽, Zhelizko I. (A),
90+4', Palma L. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Lech may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Lech has had a series of home games.

Lech might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Lech: Hakans D. (Ankle Injury) Murawski R. (Leg Injury) Walemark P. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Lech: Baranski B. (Muscle Injury) Sousa A. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 16:33. (average 0.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Lechia won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.1:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lechia Gdańsk
Polish Ekstraklasa
20.07.25	Górnik Zabrze - Lechia Gdańsk	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
13.07.25	Lechia Gdańsk - Chojniczanka Chojnice	3:0 ✺
05.07.25	Motor Lublin - Lechia Gdańsk	5:3 ✺
02.07.25	Lechia Gdańsk - Olimpia Grudziądz	4:1 ✺
28.06.25	Lechia Gdańsk - GKS Tychy	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWLWW
- Lech Poznań
UEFA Champions League
22.07.25	Lech Poznań - Breiðablik	7:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
18.07.25	Lech Poznań - Cracovia	1:4 ✺
Polish Super Cup
13.07.25	Lech Poznań - Legia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
05.07.25	Lech Poznań - Baník Ostrava	1:2 ✺
28.06.25	Lech Poznań - Chrobry Głogów	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
09.02.25	Lechia Gdańsk - Lech Poznań	1:0
03.08.24	Lech Poznań - Lechia Gdańsk	3:1
03.03.23	Lech Poznań - Lechia Gdańsk	5:0
31.08.22	Lechia Gdańsk - Lech Poznań	0:3
20.02.22	Lechia Gdańsk - Lech Poznań	1:0
22.08.21	Lech Poznań - Lechia Gdańsk	2:0
Club Friendly
03.07.21	Lech Poznań - Lechia Gdańsk	0:1

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