Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 21

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Motor Lublin Arena (Lublin) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bosnia And Herzegovina	12:15	Arena Sport 5
Canada	06:15	beIN Connect
Croatia	12:15	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	12:15	Sporty TV
Finland	13:15	Veikkaus TV
Poland	12:15	CANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Ukraine	13:15	Sport 2
Usa	06:15	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
International	11:15	Sport 2 Baltic


	Motor Lublin		Lechia Gdańsk

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	2.88	Watch
	2.25	3.6	2.82	Watch
	2.31	3.53	3.08
	2.3	3.56	3.03	Watch
	2.25	3.4	2.8
	2.17	3.65	3.16	Watch
	2.33	3.4	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.63)	3.52 ↑ (3.18)	2.95 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Motor Lublin
41.6%

Draw
26.6%

Lechia Gdańsk
31.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.9%

28.1%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Motor Lublin's performance.

Lechia Gdańsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lechia Gdańsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	30%	30%

Motor Lublin - Lechia Gdańsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Motor will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Lechia will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Motor: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Motor (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Motor (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Motor (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brkic I. (G) 28. Stolarski P. 39. Bartos M. 3. Matthys H. 24. Luberecki F. 7. Rodrigues I. 6. Samper S. 68. Wolski B. (C) 30. Ndiaye M. 9. Czubak K. 11. Fabio Ronaldo	18. Paulsen A. (G) 33. Wojtowicz T. 4. Pllana B. 80. Rodin M. 27. Vojtko M. 11. Mena C. 10. Kapic R. (C) 5. Zhelizko I. 8. Cirkovic A. 90. Kurminowski D. 99. Neugebauer T.
Substitutes
77. Dadashov R. 42. Ede B. 23. Haxha F. 10. Karasek K. 26. Krol M. 99. Kukulski P. (G) 21. Labojko J. 16. Lewandowski F. 2. Meyer P. 18. Najemski A. 33. Tratnik G. (G) 17. Wojcik F.	15. Dyachuk M. 21. Glogowski M. 16. Jaunzems A. 23. Kalahur M. 2. Kludka B. 76. Mavraj I. 79. Sezonienko K. 17. Tsarenko A. 7. Viunnyk B. 1. Weirauch S. (G)
Coaches
Stolarski M.	Carver J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', Vojtko M. 🟨,
12', 1 - 0, Wolski B. ⚽, Fabio Ronaldo (A),
16', 1 - 1, Mena C. ⚽,
37', 1 - 2, Neugebauer T. ⚽, Vojtko M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 2 - 2, Rodin M. (Own goal),
52', Cirkovic A. 🟨,
54', Neugebauer T. 🟨,
56', Kapic R. 🟨,
59', Wojtowicz T. 🟨,
68', Luberecki F. 🟨,
72', Stolarski P. ↓, Wojcik F. ↑,
72', Bartos M. ↓, Najemski A. ↑,
72', Fabio Ronaldo ↓, Krol M. ↑,
74', Brkic I. 🟨,
74', 2 - 3, Mena C. (Penalty Awarded),
74', Pllana B. 🟨,
78', Kurminowski D. ↓, Viunnyk B. ↑,
82', Neugebauer T. ↓, Sezonienko K. ↑,
85', Samper S. ↓, Labojko J. ↑,
85', Wolski B. ↓, Dadashov R. ↑,
87', Cirkovic A. ↓, Dyachuk M. ↑,
90', Labojko J. 🟨,
90+3', Paulsen A. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motor won 3.

Motor is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lechia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lechia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Lechia: Bobcek T. (Yellow Cards) Dyachuk M. (Shoulder Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Motor won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 2.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Motor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Motor Lublin	12	3	4	5	17:21	-4	13

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Motor Lublin: 0.54%

Last Results with these Odds

Motor Lublin - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 33.94%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Motor Lublin
Polish Ekstraklasa
07.02.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Motor Lublin	4:1 ✺
01.02.26	Motor Lublin - Pogoń Szczecin	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
16.01.26	Motor Lublin - IMT Novi Beograd	5:1 ✺
09.01.26	Motor Lublin - Stal Stalowa Wola	5:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
14.12.25	Motor Lublin - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWWT
- Lechia Gdańsk
Polish Ekstraklasa
06.02.26	Lechia Gdańsk - Cracovia	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Lech Poznań - Lechia Gdańsk	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
22.01.26	Lechia Gdańsk - Mladost Lučani	1:1 ✺
20.01.26	Lechia Gdańsk - Hradec Králové	1:2 ✺
14.01.26	Lechia Gdańsk - Železničar Pančevo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
11.08.25	Lechia Gdańsk - Motor Lublin	3:3
Club Friendly
05.07.25	Motor Lublin - Lechia Gdańsk	5:3
Polish Ekstraklasa
01.02.25	Motor Lublin - Lechia Gdańsk	1:1
26.07.24	Lechia Gdańsk - Motor Lublin	0:2
Polish Division 1
16.12.23	Motor Lublin - Lechia Gdańsk	1:0
28.07.23	Lechia Gdańsk - Motor Lublin	0:1

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