Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 22

Date: 4 March 2024, Monday

Location: Polsat Plus Arena (Gdansk)

Referee: Myc W. (Pol)


	Lechia Gdańsk		Resovia Rzeszów

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.8	6
	1.49	4.1	5.75
	1.5	4.2	6
	1.48	3.95	5.9
	1.52	4.25	6.45
	1.44	4	6
	1.49	4.1	6.12	Watch
	1.47	4.15	5.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.66)	4.07 ↑ (3.64)	6.02 ↑ (4.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lechia Gdańsk
62%

Draw
22.7%

Resovia Rzeszów
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

25%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

23.3%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lechia Gdańsk's performance.

Resovia Rzeszów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Resovia Rzeszów than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.7%	1.4%	2.9%

Lechia Gdańsk - Resovia Rzeszów Predictions

Users Predictions: Lechia Gdańsk will win (67 of 70 users predict this - 95.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 90.96% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Sarnavskyi B. (G) 27. Bugaj D. 3. Olsson E. 4. Chindris A. 11. Pila D. 99. Neugebauer T. 5. Zhelizko I. 30. Khlan M. 8. Kapic R. (C) 7. Mena C. 89. Bobcek T.	1. Pindroch B. (G) 23. Tomal J. 28. Osyra K. 17. Adamski R. (C) 4. Mikulec R. 99. Kanach R. 6. Wasiluk B. 24. Eizenchart B. 11. Mazek K. 14. Urynowicz M. 29. Muratovic E.
Substitutes
24. Brylowski B. 26. Brzek B. 16. D'Arrigo L. 94. Gueho L. 72. Koperski F. 83. Mikulko A. (G) 79. Sezonienko K. 21. Sypek J. 9. Zjawinski L.	20. Bak R. 2. Bondarenko M. 92. Ciepiela B. 88. Gliwa M. (G) 19. Jaroch G. 21. Lempereur D. 10. Lyszczarz A. 97. Mikrut F. 90. Zastavnyi V.
Coaches
Grabowski S.	Ulatowski R.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).

Lechia in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Resovia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Lechia have a series of home games.

In this match Lechia is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Lechia to win the game is with odds 1.49.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lechia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lechia Gdańsk
Polish Division 1
25.02.24	Znicz Pruszków - Lechia Gdańsk	0:2 ✺
17.02.24	Lechia Gdańsk - Wisła Płock	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
08.02.24	Lechia Gdańsk - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:1 ✺
02.02.24	Lechia Gdańsk - Valmiera	2:1 ✺
30.01.24	Lechia Gdańsk - Kyzylzhar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WWTWW
- FC Resovia Rzeszów
Polish Division 1
25.02.24	Resovia Rzeszów - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:0 ✺
17.02.24	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Resovia Rzeszów	2:2 ✺
10.02.24	Resovia Rzeszów - Wisła Płock	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
03.02.24	Resovia Rzeszów - Podbrezová	5:0 ✺
27.01.24	Motor Lublin - Resovia Rzeszów	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
20.08.23	Resovia Rzeszów - Lechia Gdańsk	2:0
Polish Cup
07.11.18	Resovia Rzeszów - Lechia Gdańsk	1:3

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