Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 21

Date: 25 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion MZOS Znicz (Pruszków)

Referee: Jarzebak S. (Pol)


	Znicz Pruszków		Lechia Gdańsk

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.38
	2.85	3.1	2.35
	3	3.2	2.35
	2.91	3.15	2.34
	3.06	3.2	2.47
	2.88	3.1	2.2
	2.95	3.15	2.37
	2.94	3.1	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↓ (3.17)	3.14 ↑ (3.11)	2.35 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Znicz Pruszków
31.3%

Draw
29.4%

Lechia Gdańsk
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

29.1%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

28%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Znicz Pruszków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Lechia Gdańsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Znicz Pruszków than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	37.5%	62.5%

Znicz Pruszków - Lechia Gdańsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Lechia will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lechia: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mleczko M. (G) 3. Yukhymovych D. 47. Blyszko W. 10. Grudzinski M. 8. Proczek T. 30. Nowak W. 18. Nagamatsu S. 6. Pomorski K. 11. Moskwik P. 22. Tabara K. 21. Stanclik D.	29. Sarnavskyi B. (G) 11. Pila D. 4. Chindris A. 3. Olsson E. 23. Kalahur M. 99. Neugebauer T. 5. Zhelizko I. 7. Mena C. 8. Kapic R. (C) 30. Khlan M. 89. Bobcek T.
Substitutes
99. Brysiak H. 79. Bucko W. 14. Flisiuk K. 26. Kendzia F. 91. Krajewski M. . Majewski R. 12. Misztal P. (G) 46. Wawszczyk J.	26. Brzek B. 27. Bugaj D. 16. D'Arrigo L. 94. Gueho L. 72. Koperski F. 83. Mikulko A. (G) 79. Sezonienko K. 21. Sypek J. 9. Zjawinski L.
Coaches
Misiura M.	Grabowski S.

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Znicz is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lechia in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Znicz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Znicz won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Znicz Pruszków
Polish Division 1
18.02.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Znicz Pruszków	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
07.02.24	Znicz Pruszków - ŁKS Łódź II	1:2 ✺
03.02.24	Znicz Pruszków - Pogoń Siedlce	2:1 ✺
31.01.24	Znicz Pruszków - Unia Skierniewice	2:0 ✺
27.01.24	Znicz Pruszków - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWWW
- Lechia Gdańsk
Polish Division 1
17.02.24	Lechia Gdańsk - Wisła Płock	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
08.02.24	Lechia Gdańsk - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:1 ✺
02.02.24	Lechia Gdańsk - Valmiera	2:1 ✺
30.01.24	Lechia Gdańsk - Kyzylzhar	1:0 ✺
26.01.24	Lechia Gdańsk - Neftchi Fargona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
13.08.23	Lechia Gdańsk - Znicz Pruszków	1:0

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