Match Info

Polish Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Polsat Plus Arena (Gdansk) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kwiatkowski T. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Poland	20:30	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Lechia Gdańsk		Jagiellonia Białystok

	1	X	2
	4.60	3.80	1.57
	4.40	3.85	1.67
	5.19	4.29	1.54
	3.98	3.85	1.74	Watch
	5.05	4.20	1.49
	5.28	3.88	1.51	Watch
	4.90	3.85	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.77 ↑ (4.2)	3.96 ↑ (3.61)	1.59 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lechia Gdańsk
19.2%

Draw
23.1%

Jagiellonia Białystok
57.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.1%

24.5%

54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

23.5%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lechia Gdańsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jagiellonia Białystok, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lechia Gdańsk - Jagiellonia Białystok Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jagiellonia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Jagiellonia (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Jagiellonia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Weirauch S. (G) 19. Kopasek S. 40. Madej W. 21. Beskorovaynyi D. 3. Malov D. 30. Mena J. 6. Ivanov H. 33. Wojtowicz T. (C) 17. Bambecki I. 97. Blanuta V. 13. Shakh A.	50. Abramowicz S. (G) 27. Conceicao R. 44. Konstantopoulos A. 4. Kobayashi Y. 23. Montoia G. 11. Imaz J. 6. Romanczuk T. 19. Klynge A. 30. Sow O. 99. Prelec N. 32. Cirkovic A.
Substitutes
8. Adkonis J. 7. Dodaj K. 9. Glogowski M. 1. Holewinski A. (G) 4. Lopata K. 76. Mavraj I. 90. Sonko B. 88. Szczepankiewicz B. 23. Ziolkowski A.	10. Agbonifo J. 72. Jozwiak K. 85. Kozlowski E. 21. Lozano S. 1. Perchel M. (G) 9. Rallis D. 7. Szmyt K. 5. Vital B. 20. Wdowik B.
Coaches
Lupashko V.	Siemieniec A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', Kopasek S. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Prelec N. ⚽,
40', 0 - 2, Sow O. ⚽,
43', Cirkovic A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
50', 0 - 3, Sow O. ⚽, Klynge A. (A),
54', 0 - 4, Imaz J. ⚽, Cirkovic A. (A),
57', Prelec N. ↓, Rallis D. ↑,
57', Romanczuk T. ↓, Kozlowski E. ↑,
59', Mena J. ↓, Dodaj K. ↑,
59', Shakh A. ↓, Adkonis J. ↑,
61', 0 - 5, Sow O. ⚽, Rallis D. (A),
65', Sow O. ↓, Jozwiak K. ↑,
65', Imaz J. ↓, Lozano S. ↑,
68', 0 - 6, Rallis D. ⚽,
71', Conceicao R. ↓, Vital B. ↑,
73', Ivanov H. ↓, Szczepankiewicz B. ↑,
73', Blanuta V. ↓, Sonko B. ↑,
78', Wojtowicz T. ↓, Glogowski M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 2.

Lechia is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Jagiellonia have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Lechia could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Jagiellonia has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Jagiellonia carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Lechia has recorded 8 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:30 (averaging 1.4:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lechia against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 16:12 goals (averaging 1.8:1.3 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Jagiellonia Białystok - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 54.36%, but this team recently wins 82% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lechia Gdańsk
Polish Division 1
24.10.26	Puszcza Niepołomice - Lechia Gdańsk	2:1 ✺
18.10.26	Lechia Gdańsk - Arka Gdynia	2:1 ✺
12.10.26	Stal Rzeszów - Lechia Gdańsk	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Ruch Chorzów - Lechia Gdańsk	1:3 ✺
Polish Division 1
19.09.26	Lechia Gdańsk - Stal Mielec	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWWWW
- Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Ekstraklasa
25.10.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Wisła Płock	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.10.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Anderlecht	0:3 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
18.10.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.10.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Ararat-Armenia	3:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
10.10.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Górnik Zabrze	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
06.03.26	Lechia Gdańsk - Jagiellonia Białystok	3:0
31.08.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Lechia Gdańsk	2:0
29.03.25	Lechia Gdańsk - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:0
21.09.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Lechia Gdańsk	3:2
10.04.23	Jagiellonia Białystok - Lechia Gdańsk	1:0
17.09.22	Lechia Gdańsk - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:2
11.12.21	Lechia Gdańsk - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:2

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