Match Info

Division 2 - Round 13

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Poland	12:45	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Lechia Zielona Góra		Górnik Łęczna

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.55	3.30	2.35
	2.75	3.3	2.15
	2.82	3.68	2.27
	2.64	3.65	2.4	Watch
	2.75	3.6	2.18
	2.86	3.65	2.24	Watch
	2.8	3.4	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (2.95)	3.51 ↑ (3.4)	2.25 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lechia Zielona Góra
33.4%

Draw
26%

Górnik Łęczna
40.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.7%

26.6%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

26.1%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lechia Zielona Góra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Górnik Łęczna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Zielona Góra than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Lechia Zielona Góra - Górnik Łęczna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Bursztyn J. (G) 7. Bargiel P. 17. Debski D. 33. Flis P. 4. Kurowski I. 13. Lizakowski K. 8. Nahrebecki W. 3. Ostrowski R. 16. Szczotko F. 24. Szmigiel M. 18. Szpakowski M.	1. Matysek A. (G) 10. Deja A. 17. Janaszek F. 4. Jaroszynski P. (C) 5. Kobryn R. 7. Korbecki B. 38. Myszor J. 8. Niewiarowski W. 19. Quainoo S. 27. Rogala G. 16. Walski M.
Substitutes
72. Aleksandrowicz M. 6. Embalo G. 19. Kurek M. 77. Lisowski M. 5. Majchrzak F. 10. Mycan P. 9. Olek K. 12. Slobodzian D. (G) 75. Wiecek D.	30. Akhmedov B. 29. Antkowiak H. 74. Kruk K. 9. Novotny J. . Radkowski 40. Stadnicki E. 11. Tkacz D. 23. Turek K. 99. Wilk K. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
4', 0 - 1, Korbecki B. ⚽,
24', Nahrebecki W. 🟥,
31', 0 - 2, Rogala G. ⚽, Korbecki B. (A),
38', 0 - 3, Myszor J. ⚽, Korbecki B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Ostrowski R. ↓, Olek K. ↑,
60', 0 - 4, Janaszek F. ⚽, Walski M. (A),
60', Debski D. ↓, Mycan P. ↑,
62', Janaszek F. ↓, Antkowiak H. ↑,
62', Rogala G. ↓, Turek K. ↑,
64', Szczotko F. ↓, Lisowski M. ↑,
64', Lizakowski K. ↓, Aleksandrowicz M. ↑,
69', Korbecki B. ↓, Akhmedov B. ↑,
69', Deja A. ↓, Tkacz D. ↑,
71', Antkowiak H. 🟨,
72', 0 - 5, Akhmedov B. ⚽, Niewiarowski W. (A),
75', Quainoo S. ↓, Stadnicki E. ↑,
88', 🟨,
89', 0 - 6, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 12th and 3rd in the Promotion - Division 2 Promotion - Playoffs).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Leczna	13	7	2	4	28:15	13	23
14	Zielona Gora	13	4	4	5	20:24	-4	16

Outrights of Polish Division 2 for now

Leczna: 4.04% Zielona Gora: 0.81%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lechia Zielona Góra
Polish Division 2
18.10.26	Podhale Nowy Targ - Lechia Zielona Góra	0:0 ✺
10.10.26	Lechia Zielona Góra - Legia II	0:2 ✺
Polish Division 2 - East
03.10.26	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Lechia Zielona Góra	1:3 ✺
Polish Division 2
19.09.26	Lechia Zielona Góra - Znicz Pruszków	1:3 ✺
11.09.26	Resovia Rzeszów - Lechia Zielona Góra	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TLWLW
- Górnik Łęczna
Polish Division 2
17.10.26	Górnik Łęczna - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:2 ✺
11.10.26	GKS Tychy - Górnik Łęczna	3:0 ✺
04.10.26	Górnik Łęczna - Chojniczanka Chojnice	3:1 ✺
18.09.26	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Górnik Łęczna	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Górnik Łęczna - Legia II	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLWTW

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