Match Info

Division 2 - Round 9

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: MOSiR (Zielona Góra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Lechia Zielona Góra		Znicz Pruszków

	1	X	2
	2.50	3.40	2.35
	2.80	3.35	2.15
	2.56	3.70	2.44
	2.76	3.67	2.3	Watch
	2.50	3.65	2.35
	2.81	3.63	2.29	Watch
	2.50	3.40	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (2.71)	3.54 ↑ (3.19)	2.32 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lechia Zielona Góra
34.7%

Draw
25.8%

Znicz Pruszków
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

27.8%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

27.6%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lechia Zielona Góra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

The chances for Znicz Pruszków have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Zielona Góra than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Znicz Pruszków than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Lechia Zielona Góra - Znicz Pruszków Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Bursztyn J. (G) 22. Aleksandrowicz M. 7. Bargiel P. 17. Debski D. 6. Embalo G. 4. Kurowski I. 77. Lisowski M. 5. Majchrzak F. 3. Ostrowski R. 24. Szmigiel M. 18. Szpakowski M.	23. Napieraj K. (G) 7. Barnowski D. 20. Borecki M. 3. Holuj F. 10. Jach J. (C) 17. Kazimierczak A. 13. Mazurek B. 8. Nadolski A. 14. Okhronchuk V. 11. Proczek T. 77. Ratajczyk A.
Substitutes
33. Flis P. 19. Kurek M. 13. Lizakowski K. 10. Mycan P. 9. Olek K. 28. Rutkowski B. 12. Slobodzian D. (G) 16. Szostak M. 21. Zientarski M.	9. Bartoszewicz A. 5. Broniewski M. . Drabik F. 15. Glowinski M. 1. Gzowski N. (G) 25. Kosmalski J. 6. Pawlik M. 21. Redlinski A. 16. Szafranski D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
23', 0 - 1, Ratajczyk A. ⚽,
32', Ostrowski R. 🟥,
33', 0 - 2, Proczek T. (Penalty Awarded),
34', Lisowski M. ↓, Rutkowski B. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Aleksandrowicz M. ↓, Olek K. ↑,
51', Mazurek B. 🟨,
53', 0 - 3, Jach J. ⚽, Ratajczyk A. (A),
56', Mazurek B. ↓, Bartoszewicz A. ↑,
60', Embalo G. ↓, Lizakowski K. ↑,
60', Debski D. ↓, Zientarski M. ↑,
66', Szpakowski M. ↓, Mycan P. ↑,
77', Kazimierczak A. ↓, Kosmalski J. ↑,
77', Ratajczyk A. ↓, Glowinski M. ↑,
87', Barnowski D. 🟨,
88', Proczek T. ↓, Broniewski M. ↑,
89', Okhronchuk V. ↓, Redlinski A. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 3, Olek K. ⚽, Szmigiel M. (A),

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 9th and 2nd in the Promotion ~ Division 1).

In recent outings, Zielona Góra has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Znicz shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Recently, Znicz has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Outrights of Polish Division 2 for now

Pruszkow: 23.29% Zielona Gora: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Pruszkow	10	7	2	1	23:12	11	23
7	Zielona Gora	10	4	3	3	20:16	4	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lechia Zielona Góra
Polish Division 2
11.09.26	Resovia Rzeszów - Lechia Zielona Góra	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Lechia Zielona Góra - Swit Skolwin	1:4 ✺
Polish Cup
02.09.26	Lechia Zielona Góra - Ruch Chorzów	0:2 ✺
Polish Division 2
29.08.26	Avia Świdnik - Lechia Zielona Góra	1:3 ✺
23.08.26	Lechia Zielona Góra - Hutnik	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLLWT
- Znicz Pruszków
Polish Division 2
11.09.26	Znicz Pruszków - GKS Tychy	1:1 ✺
Polish Division 2 - East
06.09.26	Znicz Pruszków - Hutnik	4:2 ✺
Polish Cup
02.09.26	Znicz Pruszków - Cracovia	2:1 penalties ✺
Polish Division 2
29.08.26	Śląsk Wrocław 2 - Znicz Pruszków	2:3 ✺
22.08.26	Znicz Pruszków - Swit Skolwin	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 TWWWT

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