Match Info

Division 2 - Round 11

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Lechia Zielona Góra		Legia II

	1	X	2
	2.07	3.40	2.85
	1.81	3.86	3.73
	2.05	3.76	3.18	Watch
	1.79	3.80	3.65
	1.82	3.95	3.74	Watch
	1.77	3.65	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.11)	3.74 ↑ (3.37)	3.45 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lechia Zielona Góra
48.8%

Draw
24.6%

Legia II
26.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42%

26.3%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

24.9%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lechia Zielona Góra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lechia Zielona Góra's performance.

Legia II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Legia II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Zielona Góra than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia II than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Lechia Zielona Góra - Legia II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Bursztyn J. (G) 22. Aleksandrowicz M. 7. Bargiel P. 17. Debski D. 33. Flis P. 4. Kurowski I. 8. Nahrebecki W. 9. Olek K. 28. Rutkowski B. 24. Szmigiel M. 18. Szpakowski M.	1. Bienduga J. (G) 9. Bicki B. 4. Gora L. 22. Kosiorek K. 3. Lauryn M. 13. Mikanovich E. 14. Mozdzen M. (C) 7. Pchelka C. 19. Piasta S. 28. Przybylko F. 8. Saletra M.
Substitutes
6. Embalo G. 19. Kurek M. 77. Lisowski M. 13. Lizakowski K. 10. Mycan P. 3. Ostrowski R. 12. Slobodzian D. (G) 16. Szczotko F. 21. Zientarski M.	17. Kiedrowicz D. 16. Konik P. 25. Korzynski B. 18. Lis J. . Mizera P. 15. Pollok F. 11. Ryczkowski A. . Stolarienko D. (G) 23. Wyganowski A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 8th and 14th in the Division 2 Promotion - Playoffs).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Legia II could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Zielona Góra holding a narrow advantage.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Legia II	13	5	1	7	26:23	3	16
14	Zielona Gora	13	4	4	5	20:24	-4	16

Outrights of Polish Division 2 for now

Zielona Gora: 0.81% Legia II: 0.81%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lechia Zielona Góra
Polish Division 2 - East
03.10.26	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Lechia Zielona Góra	1:3 ✺
Polish Division 2
19.09.26	Lechia Zielona Góra - Znicz Pruszków	1:3 ✺
11.09.26	Resovia Rzeszów - Lechia Zielona Góra	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Lechia Zielona Góra - Swit Skolwin	1:4 ✺
Polish Cup
02.09.26	Lechia Zielona Góra - Ruch Chorzów	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLWLL
- Legia II Warsaw
Polish Division 2
19.09.26	Legia II - Podhale Nowy Targ	3:0 ✺
12.09.26	Górnik Łęczna - Legia II	4:1 ✺
Polish Division 2 - East
06.09.26	Legia II - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	1:2 ✺
Polish Division 2
29.08.26	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Legia II	4:1 ✺
23.08.26	Legia II - Sokół Kleczew	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLLW

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