Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group III - Round 30

Date: 15 May 2024, Wednesday


	Lechia Zielona Góra		Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.5	3
	1.99	3.65	3.15
	1.96	3.51	3.15
	2.02	3.67	3.19	Watch
	2.1	3.7	2.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.37)	3.61 ↑ (3.55)	3.05 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lechia Zielona Góra
45.1%

Draw
25.1%

Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

25.6%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

24.4%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lechia Zielona Góra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lechia Zielona Góra's performance.

Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Zielona Góra than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Surozynski M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 1 - 1, ⚽,
78', 🟥,
90+3', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zielona Góra won 3.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Zielona Góra won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Zielona Góra won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lechia Zielona Góra
Polish Division 3 - Group III
11.05.24	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Lechia Zielona Góra	1:0 ✺
04.05.24	Lechia Zielona Góra - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	1:1 ✺
27.04.24	Odra Bytom Odrzański - Lechia Zielona Góra	2:2 ✺
20.04.24	Lechia Zielona Góra - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	0:2 ✺
13.04.24	Starowice Dolne - Lechia Zielona Góra	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTTLL
- TS Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry
Polish Division 3 - Group III
11.05.24	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Raków Częstochowa II	2:3 ✺
04.05.24	Pniówek Pawłowice - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	2:2 ✺
27.04.24	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Śląsk Wrocław 2	1:1 ✺
20.04.24	Polkowice - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	2:1 ✺
13.04.24	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Kluczbork	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
21.10.23	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Lechia Zielona Góra	1:3
12.04.23	Lechia Zielona Góra - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	2:2
13.08.22	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Lechia Zielona Góra	0:1
20.04.22	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Lechia Zielona Góra	1:2
28.08.21	Lechia Zielona Góra - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	1:1
20.03.21	Lechia Zielona Góra - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	1:1
02.09.20	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Lechia Zielona Góra	2:1

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