Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 12

Date: 10 October 2025, Friday


	Lechia Zielona Góra		Górnik 2 Zabrze

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.8	3.5
	1.92	3.76	3.33	Watch
	1.76	3.8	3.74	Watch
	1.76	3.8	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.8)	3.79 ↓ (3.83)	3.54 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lechia Zielona Góra
50.4%

Draw
24%

Górnik 2 Zabrze
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

23.8%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

22.9%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lechia Zielona Góra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Górnik 2 Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Zielona Góra than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik 2 Zabrze than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Lechia Zielona Góra - Górnik 2 Zabrze Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Nahrebecki W. ⚽,
40', 2 - 0, Rutkowski B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
69', 3 - 0, Rutkowski B. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zielona Góra won 2.

Zielona Góra has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Górnik 2 has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Zielona Góra is seen as the favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Zielona Góra won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:25. (average 0.8:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Zielona Góra won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lechia Zielona Góra
Polish Division 3 - Group III
04.10.25	Sparta Katowice - Lechia Zielona Góra	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Lechia Zielona Góra - Miedź Legnica 2	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Słowianin Wolibórz - Lechia Zielona Góra	1:5 ✺
13.09.25	Carina Gubin - Lechia Zielona Góra	2:1 ✺
06.09.25	Lechia Zielona Góra - Ślęza Wrocław	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TTWLW
- Górnik 2 Zabrze
Polish Division 3 - Group III
05.10.25	Stal Jasień - Górnik 2 Zabrze	0:3 ✺
28.09.25	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Górnik 2 Zabrze	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Sparta Katowice	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Słowianin Wolibórz - Górnik 2 Zabrze	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
17.05.25	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Lechia Zielona Góra	3:0
19.10.24	Lechia Zielona Góra - Górnik 2 Zabrze	2:1
11.05.24	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Lechia Zielona Góra	1:0
25.10.23	Lechia Zielona Góra - Górnik 2 Zabrze	2:1
26.03.23	Lechia Zielona Góra - Górnik 2 Zabrze	0:4
21.08.22	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Lechia Zielona Góra	3:1
11.06.22	Lechia Zielona Góra - Górnik 2 Zabrze	3:2

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