Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 17

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Lechia Zielona Góra		Polkowice

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	2.92
	2.33	3.45	3.48
	2.25	3.48	2.86	Watch
	2.18	3.55	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.18)	3.47 ↓ (3.55)	2.98 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 0.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lechia Zielona Góra
42%

Draw
26.8%

Polkowice
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

25.2%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

23.6%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lechia Zielona Góra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Polkowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Zielona Góra than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polkowice than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Lechia Zielona Góra - Polkowice Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Olek K. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
64', 2 - 0, Bargiel P. ⚽,
68', 3 - 0, Olek K. ⚽,
75', 4 - 0, Olek K. ⚽,
78', 5 - 0, Lisowski M. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2).

Zielona Góra has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Polkowice is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Zielona Góra will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Zielona Góra won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Zielona Góra won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Polkowice - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 33.76%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lechia Zielona Góra
Polish Division 3 - Group III
08.11.25	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Lechia Zielona Góra	1:2 ✺
31.10.25	Starowice Dolne - Lechia Zielona Góra	0:7 ✺
25.10.25	Lechia Zielona Góra - Polonia Nysa	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Pniówek Pawłowice - Lechia Zielona Góra	0:4 ✺
10.10.25	Lechia Zielona Góra - Górnik 2 Zabrze	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWTWW
- KS Polkowice
Polish Division 3 - Group III
08.11.25	Polkowice - Górnik 2 Zabrze	2:1 ✺
31.10.25	Kluczbork - Polkowice	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Polkowice - Pniówek Pawłowice	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Stal Jasień - Polkowice	0:3 ✺
11.10.25	Ślęza Wrocław - Polkowice	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
10.05.25	Lechia Zielona Góra - Polkowice	0:1
12.10.24	Polkowice - Lechia Zielona Góra	2:1
18.05.24	Polkowice - Lechia Zielona Góra	2:0
29.10.23	Lechia Zielona Góra - Polkowice	0:1

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