Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 14

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Lechia Zielona Góra		Polonia Nysa

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.95	6.3
	1.34	4.95	6.66	Watch
	1.47	4.33	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.35)	4.74 ↓ (5)	5.99 ↓ (6.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lechia Zielona Góra
65.7%

Draw
19.1%

Polonia Nysa
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68%

18.4%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

17.8%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lechia Zielona Góra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Polonia Nysa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Zielona Góra than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Nysa than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Lechia Zielona Góra - Polonia Nysa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 1)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 8).

Zielona Góra is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Polonia Nysa has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Zielona Góra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Zielona Góra is a strong favorite.

We predict that Zielona Góra will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Zielona Góra won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Zielona Góra won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lechia Zielona Góra
Polish Division 3 - Group III
18.10.25	Pniówek Pawłowice - Lechia Zielona Góra	0:4 ✺
10.10.25	Lechia Zielona Góra - Górnik 2 Zabrze	3:0 ✺
04.10.25	Sparta Katowice - Lechia Zielona Góra	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Lechia Zielona Góra - Miedź Legnica 2	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Słowianin Wolibórz - Lechia Zielona Góra	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWTTW
- Polonia Nysa
Polish Division 3 - Group III
17.10.25	Polonia Nysa - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Skra Częstochowa - Polonia Nysa	2:2 ✺
04.10.25	Słowianin Wolibórz - Polonia Nysa	2:4 ✺
26.09.25	Polonia Nysa - Pniówek Pawłowice	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Polonia Nysa	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
24.05.23	Lechia Zielona Góra - Polonia Nysa	1:1
22.10.22	Polonia Nysa - Lechia Zielona Góra	4:1
12.06.21	Lechia Zielona Góra - Polonia Nysa	2:2
22.11.20	Polonia Nysa - Lechia Zielona Góra	0:3

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