Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 16

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday


	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra		Lechia Zielona Góra

	1	X	2
	3.15	3.45	1.98
	3.55	3.52	1.84
	3.08	3.71	2.00	Watch
	3.49	3.8	1.88	Watch
	3.1	3.6	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (3.1)	3.62 ↓ (3.63)	1.93 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
27.8%

Draw
25.2%

Lechia Zielona Góra
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

25.1%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

24.2%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Lechia Zielona Góra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Zielona Góra than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Lechia Zielona Góra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Olek K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
68', 0 - 2, Ziarkowski T. ⚽,
84', 1 - 2, Kasprzyk D. ⚽,
90+5', 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karkonosze won 1.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Zielona Góra is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Karkonosze won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Karkonosze won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
Polish Division 3 - Group III
31.10.25	Polonia Nysa - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	0:4 ✺
25.10.25	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Słowianin Wolibórz	4:1 ✺
18.10.25	LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Starowice Dolne	1:0 ✺
03.10.25	Miedź Legnica 2 - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLWT
- Lechia Zielona Góra
Polish Division 3 - Group III
31.10.25	Starowice Dolne - Lechia Zielona Góra	0:7 ✺
25.10.25	Lechia Zielona Góra - Polonia Nysa	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Pniówek Pawłowice - Lechia Zielona Góra	0:4 ✺
10.10.25	Lechia Zielona Góra - Górnik 2 Zabrze	3:0 ✺
04.10.25	Sparta Katowice - Lechia Zielona Góra	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
24.05.25	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Lechia Zielona Góra	0:1
03.11.24	Lechia Zielona Góra - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	1:1
09.03.24	Lechia Zielona Góra - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	2:1
19.08.23	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Lechia Zielona Góra	3:1
15.06.22	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Lechia Zielona Góra	1:4
13.11.21	Lechia Zielona Góra - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	1:2

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