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Current Win Probability
Lechia Zielona Góra 30.6%
Draw 26.8%
Ruch Chorzów 42.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.2%
26.3%
51.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.5%
25.4%
53.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lechia Zielona Góra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lechia Zielona Góra's performance.
Ruch Chorzów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ruch Chorzów might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Zielona Góra than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lechia Zielona Góra that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ruch Chorzów could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lechia Zielona Góra - Ruch Chorzów Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ruch Chorzów (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Bursztyn J. (G) 33. Flis P. 3. Ostrowski R. 6. Embalo G. 21. Zientarski M. 8. Nahrebecki W. 18. Szpakowski M. 24. Szmigiel M. 75. Wiecek D. 9. Olek K. 7. Bargiel P.
44. Wrabel J. (G) 15. Konczkowski M. 24. Komor A. 28. Lesniak-Paduch N. 3. del Moral A. 5. Rosol M. 6. Chrapek M. 7. Kristan J. 27. Laskowski K. 95. Szczepan D. (C) 88. Rostek K.
Substitutes
25. Balaj M. 17. Debski D. 19. Kurek M. 23. Lasota L. 77. Lisowski M. 5. Majchrzak F. 10. Mycan P. 12. Slobodzian D. (G) 16. Szostak M.
26. Bak M. 11. Cieslak S. 22. Lipinski K. 17. Lukic A. 18. Nagamatsu S. 9. Pawlowski M. 1. Potoczny M. (G) 21. Szwedzik P. 14. Wojcik F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Komor A. ⚽,
35', Szczepan D. ↓, Pawlowski M. ↑,
41', 0 - 2, Chrapek M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Olek K. ↓, Debski D. ↑,
61', Wiecek D. ↓, Lisowski M. ↑,
65', Chrapek M. ↓, Nagamatsu S. ↑,
65', Laskowski K. ↓, Szwedzik P. ↑,
71', del Moral A. 🟨,
83', Nahrebecki W. 🟨,
83', Szwedzik P. 🟨,
84', Zientarski M. ↓, Kurek M. ↑,
85', Bursztyn J. 🟨,
85', Rostek K. 🟨,
89', Szpakowski M. 🟨,
90+1', Rostek K. 🟨,
Preview
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Zielona Góra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Ruch Chorzów is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Zielona Góra won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:9. (average 0:3).
Including home matches between the teams, Zielona Góra won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).
Watch
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Bursztyn J. (G) 
Embalo G. 
del Moral A. 
Kristan J. 
Lasota L. 
Lukic A. 
Nagamatsu S. 
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