Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 31

Date: 21 May 2025, Wednesday


	Lechia Zielona Góra		Unia Turza Śląska

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.8	6.25
	1.33	4.9	7
	1.31	4.8	5.7
	1.36	4.66	7.3	Watch
	1.31	4.6	8.4	Watch
	1.33	4.9	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.39)	4.78 ↓ (4.8)	6.94 ↑ (5.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lechia Zielona Góra
68%

Draw
18.9%

Unia Turza Śląska
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

19%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

14.6%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lechia Zielona Góra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Unia Turza Śląska has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Zielona Góra than the current prediction. (-17.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lechia Zielona Góra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unia Turza Śląska than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unia Turza Śląska could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lechia Zielona Góra - Unia Turza Śląska Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
78', 1 - 0, Lisowski M. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Unia Turza Śląska is Relegated to

Both teams are currently in poor form.

In this match, Zielona Góra is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Zielona Góra won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 3:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Zielona Góra won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lechia Zielona Góra
Polish Division 3 - Group III
17.05.25	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Lechia Zielona Góra	3:0 ✺
10.05.25	Lechia Zielona Góra - Polkowice	0:1 ✺
30.04.25	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Lechia Zielona Góra	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Lechia Zielona Góra - Odra Bytom Odrzański	4:1 ✺
19.04.25	Lechia Zielona Góra - Miedź Legnica 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWT
- Unia Turza Śląska
Polish Division 3 - Group III
17.05.25	Unia Turza Śląska - Miedź Legnica 2	1:3 ✺
10.05.25	LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Unia Turza Śląska	3:0 ✺
01.05.25	Unia Turza Śląska - Carina Gubin	0:5 ✺
26.04.25	Pniówek Pawłowice - Unia Turza Śląska	1:4 ✺
16.04.25	Unia Turza Śląska - Ślęza Wrocław	3:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
26.10.24	Unia Turza Śląska - Lechia Zielona Góra	0:3
06.04.24	Lechia Zielona Góra - Unia Turza Śląska	3:6
10.09.23	Unia Turza Śląska - Lechia Zielona Góra	1:3

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